Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Andre Jr. Jackson
Toronto Raptors current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER27.12024–25
NBA RANK#408of 422
PH$5.8MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN26.6governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Chicago Bulls2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT+1.3 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN8.3
PTS2.3
REB1.4
AST0.8
STL0.4
BLK0.1
3PM0.4
FG%32.2%
3P%26.5%
FT%66.7%
+/--1.8
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Toronto Raptors
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED12.21pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G0.8 PTS · 1.2 REB · 0.6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G3.2 PTS · 1.2 REB · 0.3 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT6 G1.17 PTS · 1 REB · 0.83 AST
creation↓
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring↓
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS44.4%169/381
2-POINT52.1%110/211
3-POINT34.7%59/170
FREE THROW60.4%32/53
EFFECTIVE FG%52.1%
TRUE SHOOTING%53.0%
AST / TO1.51
PTS PER 368.51rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 80 | 12.26 | 2.62 | 2.38 | 1.19 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.1 |
| Away | 74 | 11.26 | 2.96 | 2.08 | 0.86 | 0.39 | 0.46 | 0.19 |
| Home − Away | — | +1.0 | -0.3 | +0.3 | +0.3 | -0.0 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.03 | high |
| minutes | 4 | 11 | 18.4 | 11.78 | high |
| points | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2.79 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2.23 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES10.7% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | @ HOU | 23 | 11.93 | +92.8% | 8 | 3/8 | 1/5 | 2/3 | 0/2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.0 | 45% |
| 2026-03-29 | vs LAC | 33 | 7.07 | +366.9% | 13 | 5/8 | 4/6 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -15.0 | 73% |
| 2026-03-28 | vs SAS | 14 | 4.98 | +181% | 11 | 4/9 | 1/2 | 3/7 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -16.0 | 61% |
| 2026-03-25 | @ POR | 21 | 1.4 | +1402.5% | 8 | 2/5 | 1/2 | 1/3 | 3/6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -10.0 | 52% |
| 2026-03-14 | @ ATL | 4 | 2.89 | +38.3% | 2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1.0 | 100% |
| 2026-03-08 | vs ORL | 12 | 3.19 | +276.1% | 3 | 1/5 | 0/1 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -9.0 | 30% |
| 2026-03-04 | vs ATL | 2 | 3.02 | -33.9% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 | — |
| 2026-03-02 | vs BOS | 5 | 3.25 | +53.7% | 0 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +3.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-01 | @ CHI | 3 | 3.46 | -13.4% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 | — |
| 2026-02-27 | vs NYK | 6 | 3.52 | +70.5% | 0 | 0/3 | 0/1 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +3.0 | 0% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/36 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/36 games
5+ ASSISTS2.8%1/36 games
2+ THREES5.6%2/36 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024–25 | MIL | 68 | 27.1 | #408 / 422 | 5.8M | Depth |
| 2023–24 | MIL | 62 | 36.4 | #315 / 409 | 6.8M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2024–25
AF-PLAYER27.1descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#408of 422 ranked
PH$5.8MDepth
SAMPLE68observed games
Ball security11
Box defence35
Creation27
Efficiency33
Rebounding43
Scoring8
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role
AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required
ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
MIL
Milwaukee Bucks
EXPECTED MIN3.4
SCORING SHARE1.1%
CREATION SHARE3.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR50.8%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.