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CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Zeke Nnaji

Denver Nuggets current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Denver Nuggets · current teamF-CUSAArizona
REGULAR-SEASON GAMES299

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS4.1

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS2.3

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS0.4

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

49 games
MIN12.3
PTS3.8
REB2.6
AST0.5
STL0.3
BLK0.4
3PM0.3
FG%47.3%
3P%25.5%
FT%77.3%
+/--2.0

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Denver Nuggets

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster
2026-10-22 · AWAY@ Oklahoma City Thunder33.0% winProjected 112–117
2026-10-24 · HOMEvs New Orleans Pelicans67.3% winProjected 113–118
2026-10-26 · HOMEvs Golden State Warriors63.1% winProjected 113–117
2026-10-28 · AWAY@ New Orleans Pelicans53.9% winProjected 115–115
2026-10-30 · AWAY@ Phoenix Suns44.6% winProjected 114–115

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

LOADING

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL20minutes
EXPECTED1.63pregame reference
DEVIATION+1123.8%expanded minutes

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G1.2 PTS · 0.4 REB · 0.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G3 PTS · 4 REB · 0.6 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0.6 PTS · 0.4 REB · 0.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G3.3 PTS · 4 REB · 0.9 AST

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 299 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS50.3%464/922
2-POINT59.1%350/592
3-POINT34.5%114/330
FREE THROW67.1%196/292
EFFECTIVE FG%56.5%
TRUE SHOOTING%58.9%
AST / TO0.99
PTS PER 3612.35rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

156 HOME · 143 AWAY
SplitGMINPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLK
Home15611.794.382.330.40.40.280.48
Away14312.393.872.330.440.360.390.43
Home − Away—-0.6+0.50.0-0.0+0.0-0.1+0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

299 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

CategoryFloorMedianCeilingMeanVolatility
assists0010.42high
minutes4121912.07high
points0374.14high
rebounds0242.33high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

299 GAMES
DOUBLE-DOUBLES31.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games
DateOppMINEXP MINMIN ΔPTSFG2P3PFTORDRREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-TS%
2026-04-12@ SAS201.63+1123.8%63/63/40/20/002220004-9.050%
2026-03-29vs GSW82.72+194.5%00/00/00/00/002200001+12.0—
2026-03-17vs PHI94.08+120.7%21/31/20/10/011201002+2.033%
2026-03-11vs HOU67.79-23%10/20/10/11/201101011+2.017%
2026-03-06vs NYK97.23+24.5%00/20/00/20/003310010-13.00%
2026-03-05vs LAL243.49+587.3%52/41/21/20/0145110130.063%
2026-03-02@ UTA63.54+69.4%31/10/01/10/001100001-1.0150%
2026-03-01vs MIN62.69+123.1%21/31/20/10/001100000-7.033%
2026-02-25vs BOS72.8+150%00/10/00/10/203300101+1.00%
2026-02-20@ POR82.97+169.3%21/11/10/00/002211012+12.0100%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS2.0%1/49 games
10+ REBOUNDS4.1%2/49 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/49 games
2+ THREES4.1%2/49 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games
SeasonTeam(s)GMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
2025–26DEN4912.33.82.60.547.3%25.5%77.3%
2024–25DEN5710.73.21.60.449.6%32.7%61.4%
2023–24DEN589.93.22.20.646.3%26.1%67.7%
2022–23DEN5214.05.32.60.356.1%26.2%64.5%
2021–22DEN4117.06.63.60.451.6%46.3%63.1%
2020–21DEN429.53.21.60.248.1%40.7%80.0%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

SeasonTeamGAF-PlayerRankPH$Band
2025–26DEN5235.2#325 / 4096.4MDepth
2024–25DEN6338.1#297 / 4227.2MDepth
2023–24DEN6136.0#322 / 4096.6MDepth
2022–23DEN5743.4#193 / 40810MRotation
2021–22DEN5747.5#134 / 42313.3MRotation
2020–21DEN7742.9#206 / 4108.9MDepth

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#325 OF 409
AF-PLAYER35.2descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#325of 409 ranked
PH$6.4MDepth
SAMPLE52observed games
Ball security
46
Box defence
44
Creation
12
Efficiency
48
Rebounding
44
Scoring
19

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+15.9 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-9.1 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-9.0 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY48-0.5 pp next-game What If impact

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

DEN

Denver Nuggets

EXPECTED MIN7.7
SCORING SHARE2.7%
CREATION SHARE1.7%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR61.8%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.