Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
W. Riley
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYER37.12025–26
NBA RANK#301of 409
PH$8.1MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN20.8
PTS9.3
REB2.7
AST1.7
STL0.7
BLK0.1
3PM1.0
FG%44.7%
3P%33.5%
FT%80.0%
+/--6.4
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED31.75pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G20.4 PTS · 2.8 REB · 2.8 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G9.1 PTS · 1.3 REB · 1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G16.3 PTS · 3.2 REB · 2.4 AST
creation↑
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring↑
HOT historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS44.7%202/452
2-POINT52.2%141/270
3-POINT33.5%61/182
FREE THROW80.0%92/115
EFFECTIVE FG%51.4%
TRUE SHOOTING%55.4%
AST / TO1.59
PTS PER 3616.09rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 28 | 20.96 | 9.18 | 2.64 | 1.82 | 1.11 | 0.5 | 0.18 |
| Away | 32 | 20.59 | 9.38 | 2.69 | 1.59 | 0.94 | 0.81 | 0.06 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.4 | -0.2 | -0.1 | +0.2 | +0.2 | -0.3 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1.7 | high |
| minutes | 10 | 21 | 29.2 | 20.77 | high |
| points | 2.8 | 7.5 | 15.4 | 9.28 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2.67 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES11.7% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | @ MIA | 37 | 31.37 | +17.9% | 31 | 12/17 | 10/13 | 2/4 | 5/6 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 | 79% |
| 2026-04-01 | vs PHI | 32 | 32.31 | -1% | 18 | 8/12 | 6/6 | 2/6 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -16.0 | 75% |
| 2026-03-30 | @ LAL | 36 | 32.47 | +10.9% | 20 | 8/19 | 7/12 | 1/7 | 3/3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -22.0 | 49% |
| 2026-03-27 | @ GSW | 29 | 32.48 | -10.7% | 22 | 8/12 | 5/7 | 3/5 | 3/3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +6.0 | 83% |
| 2026-03-22 | @ NYK | 29 | 32.42 | -10.6% | 11 | 4/9 | 3/3 | 1/6 | 2/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -16.0 | 56% |
| 2026-03-21 | vs OKC | 28 | 33.58 | -16.6% | 9 | 3/8 | 3/6 | 0/2 | 3/3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -21.0 | 48% |
| 2026-03-19 | vs DET | 40 | 31.78 | +25.9% | 15 | 5/13 | 1/5 | 4/8 | 1/2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -11.0 | 54% |
| 2026-03-17 | vs DET | 37 | 31.06 | +19.1% | 21 | 7/13 | 6/10 | 1/3 | 6/9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 | 62% |
| 2026-03-14 | @ BOS | 29 | 30.46 | -4.8% | 5 | 2/6 | 1/3 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -17.0 | 42% |
| 2026-03-12 | @ ORL | 33 | 32.85 | +0.5% | 8 | 3/10 | 2/4 | 1/6 | 1/2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -6.0 | 37% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS11.7%7/60 games
10+ REBOUNDS1.7%1/60 games
5+ ASSISTS6.7%4/60 games
2+ THREES26.7%16/60 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | WAS | 60 | 20.8 | 9.3 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 44.7% | 33.5% | 80.0% |
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER37.1descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#301of 409 ranked
PH$8.1MDepth
SAMPLE60observed games
Ball security72
Box defence24
Creation30
Efficiency39
Rebounding23
Scoring44
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
WAS
Washington Wizards
EXPECTED MIN16.3
SCORING SHARE6.6%
CREATION SHARE5.9%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR78.5%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.