CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Tre Jones

Chicago Bulls current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Chicago Bulls · current teamGUSADuke

AF-PLAYER58.52025–26

NBA RANK#28of 409

PH$22.7MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN27.9governed role

NEXT GAME@ Toronto Raptors2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-1.1 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES351

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS9.1

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS2.8

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS4.8

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

54 games

MIN27.0

PTS13.1

REB2.9

AST5.4

STL1.2

BLK0.2

3PM0.6

FG%54.5%

3P%32.4%

FT%84.1%

+/--2.1

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Chicago Bulls

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · AWAY@ Toronto Raptors33.8% winProjected 112–116

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Milwaukee Bucks42.1% winProjected 113–115

2026-10-24 · HOMEvs Washington Wizards58.9% winProjected 113–118

2026-10-26 · AWAY@ Boston Celtics25.8% winProjected 111–116

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs New York Knicks32.5% winProjected 115–112

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED28.45pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G15.8 PTS · 3.4 REB · 4.8 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G2.3 PTS · 0.2 REB · 0.3 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G16 PTS · 3.5 REB · 5.1 AST

creation↓

efficiency→

minutes↓

rebounding→

scoring↑

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 351 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS49.9%1239/2483

2-POINT55.2%1065/1928

3-POINT31.4%174/555

FREE THROW84.0%540/643

EFFECTIVE FG%53.4%

TRUE SHOOTING%57.7%

AST / TO4.31

PTS PER 3614.56rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

182 HOME · 169 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	182	22.73	9.07	2.74	4.77	0.51	0.81	0.13
Away	169	22.23	9.12	2.88	4.81	0.48	1.01	0.12
Home − Away	—	+0.5	-0.1	-0.1	-0.0	+0.0	-0.2	+0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

351 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	2	5	8	4.79	high
minutes	14	24	32	22.49	medium
points	2	9	15	9.09	high
rebounds	1	2	5	2.81	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

351 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES205.7% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES30.9% of games

10+ ASSISTS298.3%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-03-30	@ SAS	26	28.36	-8.3%	23	9/13	7/10	2/3	3/3	0	2	2	3	0	1	1	-7.0	80%
2026-03-25	@ PHI	28	28.97	-3.3%	15	4/9	4/7	0/2	7/8	0	4	4	7	0	1	1	-8.0	60%
2026-03-23	vs HOU	28	29.2	-4.1%	15	6/11	6/10	0/1	3/4	0	5	5	6	2	1	2	+13.0	59%
2026-03-19	vs CLE	32	28.75	+11.3%	20	6/12	4/8	2/4	6/8	1	3	4	3	3	2	3	+4.0	64%
2026-03-18	vs TOR	24	29.52	-18.7%	6	3/8	3/8	0/0	0/0	0	2	2	5	2	3	1	-14.0	38%
2026-03-13	@ LAC	30	28.58	+5%	21	10/11	10/11	0/0	1/1	0	1	1	2	0	2	3	-23.0	92%
2026-03-12	@ LAL	32	27.78	+15.2%	18	8/16	8/14	0/2	2/2	2	2	4	6	1	0	1	-14.0	53%
2026-03-10	@ GSW	33	26.39	+25%	22	10/18	8/12	2/6	0/0	1	3	4	5	1	2	1	+11.0	61%
2026-03-08	@ SAC	32	24.05	+33.1%	12	5/10	5/7	0/3	2/3	0	1	1	5	1	0	0	-16.0	53%
2026-03-05	@ PHX	29	22.37	+29.6%	21	9/15	8/12	1/3	2/3	1	5	6	5	2	1	0	-3.0	64%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS16.7%9/54 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/54 games

5+ ASSISTS63.0%34/54 games

2+ THREES14.8%8/54 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	CHI	54	27.0	13.1	2.9	5.4	54.5%	32.4%	84.1%
2024–25	SAS CHI	46	19.6	7.2	2.5	4.2	53.8%	39.6%	82.1%
2023–24	SAS	77	27.7	10.0	3.8	6.2	50.4%	33.5%	85.6%
2022–23	SAS	68	29.2	12.9	3.6	6.6	45.9%	28.5%	86.1%
2021–22	SAS	69	16.6	6.0	2.3	3.4	49.0%	19.6%	78.0%
2020–21	SAS	37	7.3	2.5	0.6	1.1	47.4%	60.0%	89.5%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	CHI	54	58.5	#28 / 409	22.7M	Core
2024–25	CHI	46	55.6	#53 / 422	18.1M	Core
2023–24	SAS	77	49.0	#126 / 409	17.9M	Core
2022–23	SAS	68	46.0	#162 / 408	14.8M	Rotation
2021–22	SAS	74	46.5	#153 / 423	13.9M	Rotation

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#28 OF 409

AF-PLAYER58.5descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#28of 409 ranked

PH$22.7MCore

SAMPLE54observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+33.8 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT+5.7 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGESTABLE+0.9 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY80-1.1 pp next-game What If impact

UNDERUSED

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

CHI

Chicago Bulls

EXPECTED MIN20.7

SCORING SHARE11.0%

CREATION SHARE19.5%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR70.2%

+0.31 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 27 normal-load / 4 nonparticipation games.