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PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL

Theo Pinson

Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.

Dallas Mavericks · last observed teamUSANorth Carolina
AF-PLAYER34.42022–23
NBA RANK#324of 408
PH$5.9MDepth · fictional game currency
STATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual
REGULAR-SEASON GAMES105

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS2.5

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS1.4

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS1.1

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2022–23

36 games
MIN9.0
PTS2.6
REB1.8
AST1.3
STL0.2
BLK0.0
3PM0.6
FG%35.6%
3P%35.5%
FT%84.6%
+/--1.5

NEXT GAME

Current context

No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2022–23

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL40minutes
EXPECTED5.8pregame reference
DEVIATION+589.3%expanded minutes

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G6.2 PTS · 4 REB · 3 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT3 G2.33 PTS · 1 REB · 0.33 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G3.1 PTS · 2.2 REB · 1.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT3 G2.33 PTS · 1 REB · 0.33 AST

Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 105 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS31.4%91/290
2-POINT40.0%44/110
3-POINT26.1%47/180
FREE THROW92.3%36/39
EFFECTIVE FG%39.5%
TRUE SHOOTING%43.1%
AST / TO2.35
PTS PER 3610.93rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

47 HOME · 58 AWAY
SplitGMINPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLK
Home479.143.061.61.150.60.40.09
Away587.632.091.191.140.330.160.05
Home − Away—+1.5+1.0+0.4+0.0+0.3+0.2+0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

105 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

CategoryFloorMedianCeilingMeanVolatility
assists0121.14high
minutes2614.48.31high
points0052.52high
rebounds0121.37high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

105 GAMES
DOUBLE-DOUBLES10.9% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.9% of games
10+ ASSISTS10.9%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2022–23

One log, the window you choose

10 games
DateOppMINEXP MINMIN ΔPTSFG2P3PFTORDRREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-TS%
2023-04-09vs SAS405.8+589.3%238/163/65/102/221113121003-11.068%
2023-04-07vs CHI311.23+2417.4%83/101/22/80/007731024+4.040%
2023-03-27@ IND70.31+2170.4%00/00/00/00/002210013-4.0—
2023-03-13vs MEM42.46+62.9%00/10/00/10/002210000+3.00%
2023-03-08@ NOP32.36+27.1%00/10/00/10/000000000-5.00%
2023-02-23vs SAS613.61-55.9%00/00/00/00/0022110000.0—
2023-02-15@ DEN2011.47+74.4%00/50/30/20/010140003+4.00%
2023-02-13vs MIN199.22+106%62/60/12/50/001110005+12.050%
2023-02-11@ SAC107.76+28.9%31/40/01/40/000020111-17.038%
2023-02-10@ SAC155.52+171.6%21/41/10/30/010121012-1.025%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2022–23

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS2.8%1/36 games
10+ REBOUNDS2.8%1/36 games
5+ ASSISTS5.6%2/36 games
2+ THREES16.7%6/36 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games
SeasonTeam(s)GMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
2022–23DAL369.02.61.81.335.6%35.5%84.6%
2021–22DAL197.82.51.10.935.9%33.3%100.0%
2020–21NYK172.00.10.30.111.1%0.0%—
2019–20BKN3311.13.61.61.729.0%18.8%93.8%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

SeasonTeamGAF-PlayerRankPH$Band
2022–23DAL4034.4#324 / 4085.9MDepth
2019–20BKN5729.8#338 / 3855.6MDepth

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

No current roster binding for this historical profile

governed identity

This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2022–23

#324 OF 408
AF-PLAYER34.4descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#324of 408 ranked
PH$5.9MDepth
SAMPLE40observed games
Ball security
53
Box defence
19
Creation
69
Efficiency
22
Rebounding
38
Scoring
20

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2022–23

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

DAL

Dallas Mavericks

EXPECTED MIN3.5
SCORING SHARE1.6%
CREATION SHARE3.7%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR47.1%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.