Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
Milwaukee Bucks current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER40.12021–22
NBA RANK#259of 423
PH$8.1MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN3.0governed role
NEXT GAME@ Washington Wizards2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-0.8 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN3.5
PTS1.3
REB0.8
AST0.2
STL0.4
BLK0.2
3PM0.0
FG%50.0%
3P%0.0%
FT%59.1%
+/--0.1
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Milwaukee Bucks
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED1.79pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G0.4 PTS · 0.8 REB · 0.2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT8 G0.5 PTS · 0.5 REB · 0.12 AST
creation↑
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring↓
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS50.6%207/409
2-POINT57.4%198/345
3-POINT14.1%9/64
FREE THROW53.8%85/158
EFFECTIVE FG%51.7%
TRUE SHOOTING%53.1%
AST / TO1.07
PTS PER 3611.37rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 112 | 7.27 | 2.26 | 1.55 | 0.6 | 0.05 | 0.29 | 0.16 |
| Away | 108 | 7.35 | 2.36 | 1.43 | 0.5 | 0.03 | 0.31 | 0.17 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.1 | -0.1 | +0.1 | +0.1 | +0.0 | -0.0 | -0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.55 | high |
| minutes | 2 | 4.3 | 12.1 | 7.31 | high |
| points | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2.31 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1.49 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES10.4% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-25 | @ POR | 8 | 1.1 | +625.5% | 1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -11.0 | 27% |
| 2026-03-14 | @ ATL | 4 | 2.15 | +86.1% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 | — |
| 2026-03-08 | vs ORL | 9 | 1.84 | +389.9% | 4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -8.0 | 73% |
| 2026-03-04 | vs ATL | 2 | 1.67 | +19.7% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-02 | vs BOS | 2 | 1.86 | +7.7% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 | — |
| 2026-02-27 | vs NYK | 5 | 1.81 | +176.1% | 1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 1/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 | 27% |
| 2026-02-22 | vs TOR | 4 | 1.68 | +138.2% | 3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 | 104% |
| 2026-02-20 | @ NOP | 2 | 1.65 | +21.2% | 2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 | 114% |
| 2026-02-12 | @ OKC | 3 | 1.52 | +97.4% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 | — |
| 2026-02-09 | @ ORL | 4 | — | — | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 | — |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/26 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/26 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/26 games
2+ THREES0.0%0/26 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021–22 | MIL | 89 | 40.1 | #259 / 423 | 8.1M | Depth |
| 2020–21 | MIL | 88 | 34.7 | #330 / 410 | 6.2M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2021–22
AF-PLAYER40.1descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#259of 423 ranked
PH$8.1MDepth
SAMPLE89observed games
Ball security27
Box defence44
Creation11
Efficiency59
Rebounding54
Scoring27
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role
AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required
ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
MIL
Milwaukee Bucks
EXPECTED MIN1.6
SCORING SHARE1.1%
CREATION SHARE0.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR44.9%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.