Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Scottie Barnes
Toronto Raptors current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER55.02025–26
NBA RANK#54of 409
PH$25.2MHigh Value · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN29.8governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Chicago Bulls2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-1.7 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN33.8
PTS18.1
REB7.4
AST5.8
STL1.4
BLK1.4
3PM0.9
FG%49.9%
3P%30.3%
FT%81.0%
+/-+2.4
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Toronto Raptors
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED30.71pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G12.6 PTS · 4.4 REB · 4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G15.4 PTS · 5.4 REB · 6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G12.8 PTS · 3.9 REB · 6.9 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G15.4 PTS · 5.2 REB · 8.7 AST
creation↑
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS47.4%2356/4970
2-POINT52.9%1995/3768
3-POINT30.0%361/1202
FREE THROW77.3%1000/1293
EFFECTIVE FG%51.0%
TRUE SHOOTING%54.8%
AST / TO2.15
PTS PER 3618.24rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 174 | 34.55 | 17.76 | 7.61 | 5.26 | 1.09 | 1.3 | 1.14 |
| Away | 174 | 34.35 | 17.14 | 7.26 | 5.05 | 0.99 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.2 | +0.6 | +0.3 | +0.2 | +0.1 | +0.1 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5.16 | high |
| minutes | 31 | 35 | 38 | 34.45 | low |
| points | 12 | 17 | 23 | 17.45 | medium |
| rebounds | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7.44 | medium |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES10329.6% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES82.3% of games
10+ ASSISTS236.6%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | @ NYK | 34 | 30.05 | +13.1% | 15 | 6/13 | 6/12 | 0/1 | 3/3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -10.0 | 52% |
| 2026-04-09 | vs MIA | 25 | 30.4 | -17.8% | 13 | 4/6 | 2/4 | 2/2 | 3/4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.0 | 84% |
| 2026-04-07 | vs MIA | 30 | 31.57 | -5% | 25 | 10/16 | 8/14 | 2/2 | 3/4 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +7.0 | 70% |
| 2026-04-05 | @ BOS | 32 | 31.36 | +2% | 10 | 5/14 | 5/11 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -15.0 | 36% |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SAC | 35 | 30.1 | +16.3% | 14 | 5/14 | 5/11 | 0/3 | 4/8 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -15.0 | 40% |
| 2026-03-31 | @ DET | 28 | 31.47 | -11% | 5 | 2/8 | 2/6 | 0/2 | 1/4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -21.0 | 26% |
| 2026-03-29 | vs ORL | 28 | 31.19 | -10.2% | 23 | 9/14 | 7/12 | 2/2 | 3/5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +30.0 | 71% |
| 2026-03-27 | vs NOP | 36 | 31.04 | +16% | 23 | 10/14 | 10/14 | 0/0 | 3/3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +16.0 | 75% |
| 2026-03-25 | @ LAC | 31 | 32.27 | -3.9% | 9 | 4/11 | 3/9 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -7.0 | 39% |
| 2026-03-22 | @ PHX | 26 | 33.62 | -22.7% | 17 | 8/9 | 8/9 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -15.0 | 86% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS34.2%26/76 games
10+ REBOUNDS27.6%21/76 games
5+ ASSISTS61.8%47/76 games
2+ THREES25.0%19/76 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | TOR | 83 | 55.0 | #54 / 409 | 25.2M | High Value |
| 2024–25 | TOR | 62 | 52.1 | #93 / 422 | 20.3M | Core |
| 2023–24 | TOR | 59 | 57.2 | #44 / 409 | 23.1M | Core |
| 2022–23 | TOR | 78 | 42.6 | #208 / 408 | 14.7M | Rotation |
| 2021–22 | TOR | 78 | 45.1 | #175 / 423 | 17.2M | Core |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER55.0descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#54of 409 ranked
PH$25.2MHigh Value
SAMPLE83observed games
Ball security48
Box defence61
Creation69
Efficiency48
Rebounding44
Scoring62
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+19.8 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+8.9 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-4.4 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY94-1.7 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
TOR
Toronto Raptors
EXPECTED MIN32.6
SCORING SHARE16.1%
CREATION SHARE19.9%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR85.6%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.