Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Rob Dillingham
Chicago Bulls current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER29.62025–26
NBA RANK#381of 409
PH$5.7MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN21.4governed role
NEXT GAME@ Toronto Raptors2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-0.1 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN13.3
PTS5.2
REB1.8
AST2.2
STL0.7
BLK0.1
3PM0.5
FG%37.5%
3P%29.2%
FT%76.3%
+/--2.3
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Chicago Bulls
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED21.62pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G11.8 PTS · 1.6 REB · 2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0.6 PTS · 0.1 REB · 0.1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G9 PTS · 2.3 REB · 2.2 AST
creation↓
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring↑
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS40.2%207/515
2-POINT44.1%156/354
3-POINT31.7%51/161
FREE THROW69.8%37/53
EFFECTIVE FG%45.1%
TRUE SHOOTING%46.6%
AST / TO1.81
PTS PER 3614.54rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 53 | 12.21 | 4.62 | 1.55 | 2.32 | 0.45 | 0.58 | 0.06 |
| Away | 50 | 11.92 | 5.14 | 1.28 | 1.84 | 0.54 | 0.5 | 0.06 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.3 | -0.5 | +0.3 | +0.5 | -0.1 | +0.1 | 0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2.09 | high |
| minutes | 5 | 10 | 20 | 12.07 | high |
| points | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4.87 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1.42 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | @ SAS | 20 | 21.81 | -8.3% | 6 | 3/12 | 3/7 | 0/5 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2.0 | 25% |
| 2026-03-25 | @ PHI | 23 | 21.98 | +4.6% | 12 | 5/10 | 5/6 | 0/4 | 2/2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +6.0 | 55% |
| 2026-03-23 | vs HOU | 18 | 22.14 | -18.7% | 9 | 4/7 | 3/5 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -8.0 | 64% |
| 2026-03-19 | vs CLE | 21 | 21.47 | -2.2% | 17 | 7/14 | 4/7 | 3/7 | 0/0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -9.0 | 61% |
| 2026-03-18 | vs TOR | 25 | 21.08 | +18.6% | 15 | 7/11 | 6/8 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11.0 | 68% |
| 2026-03-13 | @ LAC | 24 | 20.28 | +18.3% | 12 | 5/9 | 3/6 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +2.0 | 67% |
| 2026-03-12 | @ LAL | 29 | 16.69 | +73.8% | 12 | 5/10 | 4/7 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +10.0 | 55% |
| 2026-03-10 | @ GSW | 20 | 17.7 | +13% | 5 | 2/11 | 1/8 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2.0 | 23% |
| 2026-03-08 | @ SAC | 15 | 19.12 | -21.5% | 3 | 1/5 | 0/3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -17.0 | 30% |
| 2026-03-05 | @ PHX | 21 | 19.57 | +7.3% | 11 | 5/12 | 4/7 | 1/5 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -7.0 | 46% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/55 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/55 games
5+ ASSISTS10.9%6/55 games
2+ THREES3.6%2/55 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | MIN | 55 | 29.6 | #381 / 409 | 5.7M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | MIN | 51 | 34.1 | #354 / 422 | 6M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER29.6descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#381of 409 ranked
PH$5.7MDepth
SAMPLE55observed games
Ball security20
Box defence43
Creation57
Efficiency10
Rebounding19
Scoring42
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-36.9 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-9.3 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+8.1 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY9-0.1 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
CHI
Chicago Bulls
EXPECTED MIN18.6
SCORING SHARE7.0%
CREATION SHARE13.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR83.9%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.
MIN
Minnesota Timberwolves
EXPECTED MIN6.2
SCORING SHARE2.8%
CREATION SHARE6.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR64.2%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.