Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Pat Spencer
Phoenix Suns current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER36.72025–26
NBA RANK#307of 409
PH$7.7MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN1.0governed role
NEXT GAME@ Portland Trail Blazers2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-1.6 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN18.6
PTS7.2
REB2.4
AST3.5
STL0.7
BLK0.1
3PM0.9
FG%42.2%
3P%35.9%
FT%80.4%
+/--1.5
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Phoenix Suns
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL19minutes
EXPECTED23.3pregame reference
DEVIATION-18.4%role consistent
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G8.4 PTS · 2.2 REB · 3.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G10.2 PTS · 3.4 REB · 3.6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G9.2 PTS · 3.3 REB · 4.1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G9.9 PTS · 2.5 REB · 3.3 AST
creation→
efficiency↑
minutes↑
rebounding↑
scoring↑
HOT historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS42.1%217/515
2-POINT46.4%155/334
3-POINT34.3%62/181
FREE THROW78.8%52/66
EFFECTIVE FG%48.2%
TRUE SHOOTING%50.4%
AST / TO2.67
PTS PER 3613.88rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 57 | 12.74 | 4.25 | 1.77 | 2.35 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.05 |
| Away | 49 | 14.18 | 6.24 | 1.96 | 2.71 | 0.69 | 0.61 | 0.08 |
| Home − Away | — | -1.4 | -2.0 | -0.2 | -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2.52 | high |
| minutes | 3 | 12 | 24 | 13.41 | high |
| points | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5.17 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 1.5 | 3 | 1.86 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES10.9% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS21.9%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | @ LAC | 19 | 23.3 | -18.4% | 7 | 3/8 | 2/5 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -18.0 | 44% |
| 2026-04-10 | @ SAC | 14 | 26.2 | -46.6% | 2 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 33% |
| 2026-04-09 | vs LAL | 38 | 23.89 | +59.1% | 12 | 5/12 | 3/7 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -17.0 | 50% |
| 2026-04-07 | vs SAC | 41 | 21.64 | +89.4% | 14 | 5/16 | 2/8 | 3/8 | 1/2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5.0 | 42% |
| 2026-04-05 | vs HOU | 12 | 23.02 | -47.9% | 7 | 2/4 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +10.0 | 72% |
| 2026-04-02 | vs CLE | 16 | 24.64 | -35.1% | 12 | 5/8 | 3/4 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3.0 | 75% |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SAS | 38 | 21.91 | +73.5% | 14 | 6/15 | 4/9 | 2/6 | 0/0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -3.0 | 47% |
| 2026-03-29 | @ DEN | 24 | 21.46 | +11.8% | 7 | 3/9 | 3/5 | 0/4 | 1/3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 34% |
| 2026-03-27 | vs WAS | 25 | 20.71 | +20.7% | 13 | 5/9 | 4/7 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.0 | 66% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs BKN | 15 | 21.2 | -29.3% | 4 | 2/5 | 2/2 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -9.0 | 40% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS1.6%1/62 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/62 games
5+ ASSISTS27.4%17/62 games
2+ THREES25.8%16/62 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | GSW | 63 | 36.7 | #307 / 409 | 7.7M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | GSW | 46 | 41.0 | #258 / 422 | 7.3M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER36.7descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#307of 409 ranked
PH$7.7MDepth
SAMPLE63observed games
Ball security46
Box defence29
Creation76
Efficiency21
Rebounding24
Scoring36
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+23.5 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-13.9 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-17.3 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY63-1.6 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
GSW
Golden State Warriors
EXPECTED MIN14.2
SCORING SHARE6.1%
CREATION SHARE11.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR72.8%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.