CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Onyeka Okongwu

Atlanta Hawks current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Atlanta Hawks · current teamF-CUSASouthern California

AF-PLAYER50.22025–26

NBA RANK#108of 409

PH$20.5MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN27.6governed role

NEXT GAME@ Orlando Magic2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-1.2 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES378

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS10.7

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS6.9

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS1.6

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

73 games

MIN31.1

PTS15.2

REB7.6

AST3.1

STL1.1

BLK1.1

3PM1.9

FG%48.1%

3P%37.6%

FT%75.8%

+/-+1.0

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Atlanta Hawks

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · AWAY@ Orlando Magic50.6% winProjected 112–114

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Charlotte Hornets42.8% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-24 · HOMEvs Houston Rockets55.0% winProjected 112–114

2026-10-26 · AWAY@ Houston Rockets40.4% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Miami Heat61.2% winProjected 114–116

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED30.26pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G6.4 PTS · 3.6 REB · 0.4 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G8.6 PTS · 4.8 REB · 2.2 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G8.7 PTS · 4.5 REB · 1.3 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G10 PTS · 6.1 REB · 2.6 AST

creation↓

efficiency↓

minutes→

rebounding↓

scoring↓

COLD historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 378 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS57.4%1582/2758

2-POINT63.5%1365/2150

3-POINT35.7%217/608

FREE THROW75.6%675/893

EFFECTIVE FG%61.3%

TRUE SHOOTING%64.4%

AST / TO1.51

PTS PER 3615.99rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

187 HOME · 191 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	187	24.73	11.13	7.12	1.67	0.53	0.72	1.07
Away	191	23.6	10.34	6.63	1.59	0.62	0.8	1.06
Home − Away	—	+1.1	+0.8	+0.5	+0.1	-0.1	-0.1	+0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

378 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	1	3	1.63	high
minutes	18.4	24	32	24.16	medium
points	5	10	16	10.73	high
rebounds	4	7	10	6.88	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

378 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES6717.7% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS00.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-10	vs CLE	27	26.95	+0.2%	2	1/5	1/3	0/2	0/0	1	4	5	1	1	0	0	0	+25.0	20%
2026-04-08	@ CLE	33	27.24	+21.1%	18	7/10	6/8	1/2	3/4	2	3	5	0	0	1	1	2	-33.0	77%
2026-04-06	vs NYK	37	25.6	+44.5%	12	4/13	2/6	2/7	2/2	4	4	8	1	0	1	2	2	+10.0	43%
2026-04-01	@ ORL	31	24.09	+28.7%	16	4/11	2/6	2/5	6/8	2	5	7	4	2	2	3	4	+13.0	55%
2026-03-30	vs BOS	36	22.63	+59.1%	20	7/14	3/4	4/10	2/2	3	7	10	3	3	1	2	3	+12.0	67%
2026-03-27	@ BOS	38	25.27	+50.4%	8	3/7	2/5	1/2	1/3	4	5	9	2	0	0	1	5	+5.0	48%
2026-03-25	@ DET	24	27.56	-12.9%	11	4/6	1/1	3/5	0/0	0	1	1	2	2	0	2	6	-5.0	92%
2026-03-23	vs MEM	20	28.74	-30.4%	16	5/7	5/5	0/2	6/8	2	3	5	2	2	1	1	2	+23.0	76%
2026-03-21	vs GSW	26	29.21	-11%	6	3/7	3/4	0/3	0/0	3	2	5	5	0	1	2	1	+32.0	43%
2026-03-20	@ HOU	24	30.3	-20.8%	6	2/9	1/5	1/4	1/2	1	7	8	3	1	2	0	2	-7.0	30%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS27.4%20/73 games

10+ REBOUNDS26.0%19/73 games

5+ ASSISTS21.9%16/73 games

2+ THREES57.5%42/73 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	ATL	73	31.1	15.2	7.6	3.1	48.1%	37.6%	75.8%
2024–25	ATL	73	27.8	13.5	8.9	2.3	57.0%	33.1%	75.9%
2023–24	ATL	55	25.6	10.2	6.8	1.4	61.1%	33.3%	79.3%
2022–23	ATL	80	23.1	9.9	7.2	1.0	63.8%	30.8%	78.1%
2021–22	ATL	47	20.6	8.2	5.9	1.1	68.8%	—	72.7%
2020–21	ATL	50	12.0	4.6	3.3	0.4	64.4%	0.0%	63.2%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	ATL	79	50.2	#108 / 409	20.5M	Core
2024–25	ATL	75	62.9	#16 / 422	25.9M	High Value
2023–24	ATL	55	56.4	#52 / 409	20M	Core
2022–23	ATL	87	59.5	#28 / 408	23.4M	Core
2021–22	ATL	52	56.4	#43 / 423	19.8M	Core
2020–21	ATL	75	55.3	#54 / 410	17M	Core

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#108 OF 409

AF-PLAYER50.2descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#108of 409 ranked

PH$20.5MCore

SAMPLE79observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+14.7 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT-22.7 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-3.6 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY55-1.2 pp next-game What If impact

DECLINING

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

ATL

Atlanta Hawks

EXPECTED MIN27.7

SCORING SHARE13.0%

CREATION SHARE10.3%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR80.7%

+3.69 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 62 normal-load / 6 nonparticipation games.