CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Obi Toppin

Indiana Pacers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Indiana Pacers · current teamFUSADayton

AF-PLAYER52.02024–25

NBA RANK#97of 422

PH$19.3MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN12.2governed role

NEXT GAME@ New Orleans Pelicans2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES371

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS8.5

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS3.4

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS1.2

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

13 games

MIN18.8

PTS10.0

REB4.5

AST2.1

STL0.5

BLK0.1

3PM1.1

FG%50.0%

3P%27.3%

FT%100.0%

+/--3.5

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Indiana Pacers

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · AWAY@ New Orleans Pelicans42.3% winProjected 113–116

2026-10-23 · HOMEvs Dallas Mavericks64.9% winProjected 113–116

2026-10-25 · AWAY@ Brooklyn Nets60.5% winProjected 113–114

2026-10-26 · AWAY@ Milwaukee Bucks50.4% winProjected 113–115

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Philadelphia 76ers55.0% winProjected 113–115

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED16.95pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G1.4 PTS · 1.4 REB · 0.4 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT3 G10.67 PTS · 6 REB · 2.33 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G5.4 PTS · 2 REB · 1.1 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT3 G10.67 PTS · 6 REB · 2.33 AST

creation—

efficiency—

minutes—

rebounding—

scoring—

Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 371 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS52.0%1217/2342

2-POINT66.9%836/1250

3-POINT34.9%381/1092

FREE THROW77.9%324/416

EFFECTIVE FG%60.1%

TRUE SHOOTING%62.2%

AST / TO1.66

PTS PER 3617.7rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

190 HOME · 181 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	190	16.72	8.19	3.32	1.13	0.96	0.42	0.33
Away	181	17.72	8.74	3.51	1.28	1.09	0.44	0.38
Home − Away	—	-1.0	-0.6	-0.2	-0.1	-0.1	-0.0	-0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

371 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	1	2	1.2	high
minutes	11.1	16	22	17.21	medium
points	3	7	13	8.46	high
rebounds	2	3	5	3.42	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

371 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES51.4% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS00.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-10	vs PHI	19	16.93	+12.2%	7	3/8	2/3	1/5	0/0	0	7	7	2	0	0	2	0	0.0	44%
2026-03-29	vs MIA	15	16.64	-9.9%	12	5/8	4/5	1/3	1/1	0	2	2	3	0	0	0	2	+10.0	71%
2026-03-27	vs LAC	23	14.53	+58.3%	20	8/11	4/4	4/7	0/0	3	5	8	4	0	0	1	3	+6.0	91%
2026-03-25	vs LAL	20	12.64	+58.2%	15	7/10	6/7	1/3	0/0	0	3	3	2	3	0	3	0	+6.0	75%
2026-03-23	@ ORL	17	11	+54.5%	8	3/5	1/1	2/4	0/0	0	2	2	4	0	1	1	2	+2.0	80%
2026-03-21	@ SAS	19	7.93	+139.6%	11	5/10	5/5	0/5	1/1	0	4	4	4	0	0	4	0	-10.0	53%
2026-03-13	vs NYK	16	5.83	+174.6%	9	3/6	0/0	3/6	0/0	0	4	4	1	0	0	1	3	-12.0	75%
2026-03-08	@ POR	11	4.01	+174.1%	4	2/5	2/2	0/3	0/0	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	-17.0	40%
2026-03-06	@ LAL	11	2.15	+412.4%	2	1/4	1/3	0/1	0/0	1	3	4	1	0	0	0	2	-12.0	25%
2026-03-04	@ LAC	10	—	—	0	0/1	0/0	0/1	0/0	0	3	3	1	0	0	1	2	-11.0	0%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS15.4%2/13 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/13 games

5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/13 games

2+ THREES30.8%4/13 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	IND	13	18.8	10.0	4.5	2.1	50.0%	27.3%	100.0%
2024–25	IND	75	19.3	10.2	3.9	1.6	52.1%	35.7%	78.3%
2023–24	IND	82	21.1	10.3	3.9	1.6	57.3%	40.3%	77.5%
2022–23	NYK	67	15.7	7.4	2.8	1.0	44.6%	34.4%	80.8%
2021–22	NYK	72	17.1	9.0	3.7	1.1	53.1%	30.8%	75.8%
2020–21	NYK	62	11.0	4.1	2.2	0.5	49.8%	30.6%	73.1%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2024–25	IND	98	52.0	#97 / 422	19.3M	Core
2023–24	IND	100	55.4	#59 / 409	22.2M	Core
2022–23	NYK	78	39.2	#263 / 408	8.9M	Depth
2021–22	NYK	72	52.2	#87 / 423	17.7M	Core
2020–21	NYK	67	39.4	#276 / 410	7.6M	Depth

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2024–25

#97 OF 422

AF-PLAYER52.0descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#97of 422 ranked

PH$19.3MCore

SAMPLE98observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role

AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required

ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable

STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

IND

Indiana Pacers

EXPECTED MIN11.0

SCORING SHARE10.4%

CREATION SHARE7.3%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR47.6%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.