Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Nikola Topic
Oklahoma City Thunder current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYERPendingsample gate
NBA RANK—not ranked
PH$—pending · how PH$ worksSTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN0.0governed role
NEXT GAME@ San Antonio Spurs2026-10-20WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN10.4
PTS2.5
REB1.6
AST2.4
STL0.1
BLK0.0
3PM0.3
FG%34.8%
3P%28.6%
FT%100.0%
+/--0.9
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Oklahoma City Thunder
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED5.1pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0.4 PTS · 0.6 REB · 1.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT2 G5.5 PTS · 2.5 REB · 2.5 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0.4 PTS · 0.5 REB · 0.9 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT2 G5.5 PTS · 2.5 REB · 2.5 AST
creation—
efficiency—
minutes—
rebounding—
scoring—
Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS34.8%8/23
2-POINT—6/16
3-POINT—2/7
FREE THROW—2/2
EFFECTIVE FG%39.1%
TRUE SHOOTING%41.9%
AST / TO1.58
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
Not enough games on both sides to publish a split. ProbHoops requires at least 5 home and 5 away games; this player has 5 and 3.
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
A distribution needs at least 10 observed games. This player has 8.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | @ LAL | 10 | 3.55 | +181.7% | 0 | 0/4 | 0/3 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0% |
| 2026-04-05 | vs UTA | 8 | 2.4 | +232.8% | 2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4.0 | 53% |
| 2026-04-02 | vs LAL | 12 | — | — | 2 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 | 50% |
| 2026-02-25 | @ DET | 16 | 8.66 | +84.8% | 0 | 0/3 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -11.0 | 0% |
| 2026-02-24 | @ TOR | 6 | 9.45 | -36.5% | 3 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +6.0 | 75% |
| 2026-02-22 | vs CLE | 8 | 10.14 | -21.1% | 2 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3.0 | 50% |
| 2026-02-20 | vs BKN | 11 | 10.09 | +9% | 9 | 4/6 | 3/4 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +12.0 | 75% |
| 2026-02-12 | vs MIL | 12 | — | — | 2 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5.0 | 33% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/8 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/8 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/8 games
2+ THREES0.0%0/8 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | OKC | 8 | 10.4 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 34.8% | 28.6% | 100.0% |
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
ProbHoops has observed 16 games of this player in 2025–26 — below the sample floor required to rank. He carries no AF-Player and no PH$. Pending means not enough observation, never a low score.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role
AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required
ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
OKC
Oklahoma City Thunder
EXPECTED MIN3.9
SCORING SHARE2.2%
CREATION SHARE6.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR51.9%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.