Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Mouhamed Gueye
Atlanta Hawks current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER35.62025–26
NBA RANK#318of 409
PH$7.5MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN7.8governed role
NEXT GAME@ Orlando Magic2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-1.4 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN15.3
PTS4.4
REB3.6
AST0.9
STL0.8
BLK0.5
3PM0.5
FG%45.0%
3P%30.8%
FT%63.9%
+/-+0.7
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Atlanta Hawks
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED12.73pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G1.6 PTS · 1.8 REB · 0.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G4 PTS · 2.8 REB · 0.6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G2.3 PTS · 2.3 REB · 0.7 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G3 PTS · 2.3 REB · 0.5 AST
creation→
efficiency↑
minutes↓
rebounding→
scoring↑
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS43.3%205/474
2-POINT55.5%142/256
3-POINT28.9%63/218
FREE THROW69.4%75/108
EFFECTIVE FG%49.9%
TRUE SHOOTING%52.5%
AST / TO2.06
PTS PER 3611.38rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 60 | 14.88 | 4.82 | 3.88 | 0.93 | 0.57 | 0.68 | 0.8 |
| Away | 54 | 15.56 | 4.8 | 3.35 | 0.76 | 0.54 | 0.91 | 0.5 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.7 | +0.0 | +0.5 | +0.2 | +0.0 | -0.2 | +0.3 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.85 | high |
| minutes | 9 | 15 | 22 | 15.2 | medium |
| points | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4.81 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3.63 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES43.5% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | vs CLE | 12 | 15.49 | -22.5% | 5 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +11.0 | 63% |
| 2026-04-08 | @ CLE | 16 | 14.14 | +13.1% | 3 | 1/3 | 0/1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +25.0 | 50% |
| 2026-04-06 | vs NYK | 8 | 13.26 | -39.7% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -11.0 | 0% |
| 2026-04-01 | @ ORL | 11 | 14.68 | -25.1% | 0 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-30 | vs BOS | 12 | 16.13 | -25.6% | 2 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 | 33% |
| 2026-03-28 | vs SAC | 32 | 13.63 | +134.8% | 10 | 4/8 | 2/5 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +21.0 | 63% |
| 2026-03-27 | @ BOS | 10 | 12.37 | -19.2% | 3 | 1/3 | 0/1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -12.0 | 50% |
| 2026-03-25 | @ DET | 1 | 13.93 | -92.8% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.0 | — |
| 2026-03-23 | vs MEM | 22 | 12.15 | +81% | 3 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +12.0 | 38% |
| 2026-03-21 | vs GSW | 26 | 9.21 | +182.2% | 16 | 6/6 | 2/2 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +22.0 | 133% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS1.3%1/76 games
10+ REBOUNDS5.3%4/76 games
5+ ASSISTS2.6%2/76 games
2+ THREES10.5%8/76 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | ATL | 82 | 35.6 | #318 / 409 | 7.5M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | ATL | 34 | 42.0 | #233 / 422 | 8.6M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER35.6descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#318of 409 ranked
PH$7.5MDepth
SAMPLE82observed games
Ball security64
Box defence63
Creation28
Efficiency29
Rebounding55
Scoring12
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+10.1 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-22.6 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-7.0 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY50-1.4 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
ATL
Atlanta Hawks
EXPECTED MIN13.8
SCORING SHARE3.8%
CREATION SHARE3.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR83.3%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.