PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL

Michael Carter-Williams

Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.

Orlando Magic · last observed team

AF-PLAYER35.02020–21

NBA RANK#327of 410

PH$6.6MDepth · fictional game currency

STATUSHistoricalno current binding

EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported

NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pending WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES80

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS7.7

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS3.6

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS3.1

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2022–23

4 games

MIN11.3

PTS4.3

REB1.3

AST1.8

STL0.3

BLK0.3

3PM0.3

FG%42.9%

3P%33.3%

FT%57.1%

+/--6.5

NEXT GAME

Current context

No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2022–23

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL17minutes

EXPECTED6.66pregame reference

DEVIATION+155.4%expanded minutes

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G3.4 PTS · 1 REB · 1.4 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT0 G— PTS · — REB · — AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED5 G3.4 PTS · 1 REB · 1.4 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT0 G— PTS · — REB · — AST

creation—

efficiency—

minutes—

rebounding—

scoring—

Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 80 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS40.8%222/544

2-POINT45.4%184/405

3-POINT27.3%38/139

FREE THROW72.5%132/182

EFFECTIVE FG%44.3%

TRUE SHOOTING%49.2%

AST / TO1.96

PTS PER 3613.18rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

41 HOME · 39 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	41	21.79	7.17	4.1	3.2	0.51	0.76	0.59
Away	39	20.1	8.21	3.15	2.92	0.44	1.13	0.41
Home − Away	—	+1.7	-1.0	+0.9	+0.3	+0.1	-0.4	+0.2

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

80 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	1	3	5	3.06	high
minutes	14.5	21.5	27	20.97	medium
points	3.8	7	11	7.67	high
rebounds	2	3	6	3.64	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

80 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS00.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2022–23

One log, the window you choose

4 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2023-04-09	@ MIA	17	6.66	+155.4%	8	3/6	2/4	1/2	1/3	0	0	0	3	1	0	3	4	-10.0	55%
2023-04-07	@ BKN	14	4.44	+215.4%	6	2/6	2/5	0/1	2/2	1	4	5	1	0	0	1	1	-4.0	44%
2023-04-06	vs CLE	12	1.04	+1059.1%	2	1/2	1/2	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	-12.0	50%
2023-04-02	vs DET	2	—	—	1	0/0	0/0	0/0	1/2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	57%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2022–23

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/4 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/4 games

5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/4 games

2+ THREES0.0%0/4 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2022–23	ORL	4	11.3	4.3	1.3	1.8	42.9%	33.3%	57.1%
2020–21	ORL	31	25.8	8.8	4.5	4.2	38.9%	24.6%	61.3%
2019–20	ORL	45	18.5	7.2	3.3	2.4	42.7%	29.3%	83.2%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2020–21	ORL	32	35.0	#327 / 410	6.6M	Depth
2019–20	ORL	46	43.2	#181 / 385	10.6M	Rotation

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

No current roster binding for this historical profile

governed identity

This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2020–21

#327 OF 410

AF-PLAYER35.0descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#327of 410 ranked

PH$6.6MDepth

SAMPLE32observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2022–23

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

ORL

Orlando Magic

EXPECTED MIN3.5

SCORING SHARE1.6%

CREATION SHARE3.5%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR58.8%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.