Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Mark Williams
Phoenix Suns current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER61.72025–26
NBA RANK#12of 409
PH$23.6MCore · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN0.0governed role
NEXT GAME@ Portland Trail Blazers2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN23.5
PTS11.6
REB7.9
AST1.0
STL0.9
BLK0.9
3PM0.0
FG%64.3%
3P%100.0%
FT%76.9%
+/--0.8
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Phoenix Suns
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED11.63pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G5.2 PTS · 2.6 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G9 PTS · 8.4 REB · 0.6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G3.8 PTS · 1.7 REB · 0.1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G10.3 PTS · 8.2 REB · 1.1 AST
creation↓
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring↓
COLD historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS63.3%788/1244
2-POINT63.4%787/1241
3-POINT—1/3
FREE THROW75.6%369/488
EFFECTIVE FG%63.4%
TRUE SHOOTING%66.7%
AST / TO1.11
PTS PER 3618.39rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 81 | 24.57 | 11.27 | 8.58 | 1.23 | 0 | 0.69 | 1.16 |
| Away | 81 | 22.46 | 12.75 | 8.4 | 1.23 | 0.01 | 0.88 | 0.94 |
| Home − Away | — | +2.1 | -1.5 | +0.2 | 0.0 | -0.0 | -0.2 | +0.2 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.23 | high |
| minutes | 18 | 25 | 30 | 23.51 | low |
| points | 6 | 11 | 18 | 12.01 | high |
| rebounds | 5 | 8 | 12 | 8.49 | medium |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES5332.7% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | @ LAL | 20 | 8.63 | +131.9% | 7 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -20.0 | 93% |
| 2026-04-07 | vs HOU | 28 | 4.07 | +587.7% | 19 | 7/9 | 7/9 | 0/0 | 5/6 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +10.0 | 82% |
| 2026-04-02 | @ CHA | 20 | — | — | 12 | 6/7 | 6/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -12.0 | 86% |
| 2026-03-03 | @ SAC | 22 | 19.41 | +13.3% | 10 | 3/6 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 4/6 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -10.0 | 58% |
| 2026-02-26 | vs LAL | 13 | 19.87 | -34.6% | 4 | 2/6 | 2/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 33% |
| 2026-02-24 | vs BOS | 18 | 20.9 | -13.9% | 2 | 1/3 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -23.0 | 33% |
| 2026-02-22 | vs POR | 15 | 23.05 | -34.9% | 6 | 3/8 | 3/8 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -13.0 | 38% |
| 2026-02-21 | vs ORL | 28 | 23.49 | +19.2% | 9 | 4/10 | 4/10 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -8.0 | 43% |
| 2026-02-19 | @ SAS | 23 | 23.52 | -2.2% | 11 | 4/12 | 4/12 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -19.0 | 40% |
| 2026-02-11 | vs OKC | 16 | 24.39 | -34.4% | 6 | 3/4 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -20.0 | 75% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS13.6%8/59 games
10+ REBOUNDS27.1%16/59 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/59 games
2+ THREES0.0%0/59 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | PHX | 60 | 61.7 | #12 / 409 | 23.6M | Core |
| 2024–25 | CHA | 41 | 67.9 | #5 / 422 | 21.8M | Core |
| 2022–23 | CHA | 43 | 59.7 | #24 / 408 | 18.8M | Core |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER61.7descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#12of 409 ranked
PH$23.6MCore
SAMPLE60observed games
Ball security61
Box defence60
Creation9
Efficiency89
Rebounding89
Scoring46
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role
AF MOVEMENT-1.8 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-23.5 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
PHX
Phoenix Suns
EXPECTED MIN18.5
SCORING SHARE9.8%
CREATION SHARE3.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR72.3%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.