Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Malachi Smith
Toronto Raptors current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYERPendingsample gate
NBA RANK—not ranked
PH$—pending · how PH$ worksSTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN11.3governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Chicago Bulls2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-0.9 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN20.4
PTS7.9
REB2.1
AST2.3
STL1.1
BLK0.6
3PM1.1
FG%59.0%
3P%57.1%
FT%100.0%
+/--1.7
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Toronto Raptors
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED15.51pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G6.6 PTS · 2 REB · 2.2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G2.1 PTS · 0.6 REB · 0.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G6.6 PTS · 2 REB · 2.2 AST
creation→
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring→
STEADY historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS59.0%23/39
2-POINT60.0%15/25
3-POINT—8/14
FREE THROW—1/1
EFFECTIVE FG%69.2%
TRUE SHOOTING%69.7%
AST / TO1.78
PTS PER 3613.85rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
Not enough games on both sides to publish a split. ProbHoops requires at least 5 home and 5 away games; this player has 3 and 4.
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
A distribution needs at least 10 observed games. This player has 7.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | vs CHA | 14 | 17.29 | -19% | 2 | 1/4 | 1/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -9.0 | 25% |
| 2026-03-29 | vs SAC | 16 | 17.65 | -9.4% | 7 | 3/5 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +9.0 | 70% |
| 2026-03-25 | @ GSW | 18 | 21.78 | -17.4% | 12 | 5/8 | 3/4 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 75% |
| 2026-03-23 | @ POR | 24 | 21.12 | +13.6% | 5 | 2/4 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -20.0 | 63% |
| 2026-03-22 | @ SAC | 29 | 18.07 | +60.5% | 18 | 7/9 | 4/5 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.0 | 95% |
| 2026-03-20 | vs NYK | 19 | 18.65 | +1.9% | 7 | 3/4 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 | 88% |
| 2026-03-14 | @ PHI | 23 | — | — | 4 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +8.0 | 40% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/7 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/7 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/7 games
2+ THREES28.6%2/7 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | BKN | 7 | 20.4 | 7.9 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 59.0% | 57.1% | 100.0% |
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
ProbHoops has observed 7 games of this player in 2025–26 — below the sample floor required to rank. He carries no AF-Player and no PH$. Pending means not enough observation, never a low score.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role
AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required
ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
BKN
Brooklyn Nets
EXPECTED MIN19.4
SCORING SHARE7.4%
CREATION SHARE9.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR73.5%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.