Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Leonard Miller
Chicago Bulls current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER51.22025–26
NBA RANK#94of 409
PH$13.5MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN26.8governed role
NEXT GAME@ Toronto Raptors2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-0.8 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN11.9
PTS6.1
REB3.0
AST0.7
STL0.3
BLK0.2
3PM0.5
FG%56.3%
3P%27.9%
FT%80.8%
+/-+0.6
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Chicago Bulls
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED23.71pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G15.2 PTS · 6 REB · 1.8 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G2.1 PTS · 0.6 REB · 0.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT6 G13.67 PTS · 5.5 REB · 1.5 AST
creation→
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring→
STEADY historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS55.9%109/195
2-POINT72.6%90/124
3-POINT26.8%19/71
FREE THROW83.3%30/36
EFFECTIVE FG%60.8%
TRUE SHOOTING%63.3%
AST / TO1.48
PTS PER 3618.59rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 30 | 7.57 | 3.57 | 1.87 | 0.5 | 0.37 | 0.17 | 0.2 |
| Away | 36 | 8.06 | 4.44 | 2.31 | 0.53 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 0.08 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.5 | -0.9 | -0.4 | -0.0 | +0.1 | -0.1 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.52 | high |
| minutes | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7.83 | high |
| points | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4.05 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.11 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES11.5% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | @ SAS | 25 | 24.44 | +2.3% | 21 | 9/14 | 6/6 | 3/8 | 0/0 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9.0 | 75% |
| 2026-03-25 | @ PHI | 21 | 26 | -19.2% | 15 | 6/12 | 5/7 | 1/5 | 2/2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +5.0 | 58% |
| 2026-03-23 | vs HOU | 23 | 27.53 | -16.4% | 17 | 7/11 | 5/8 | 2/3 | 1/2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +4.0 | 72% |
| 2026-03-19 | vs CLE | 19 | 24.8 | -23.4% | 10 | 4/9 | 3/6 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.0 | 53% |
| 2026-03-18 | vs TOR | 27 | 23.71 | +13.9% | 13 | 6/9 | 5/6 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10.0 | 72% |
| 2026-03-13 | @ LAC | 36 | 20.42 | +76.3% | 14 | 6/14 | 6/9 | 0/5 | 2/2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -13.0 | 47% |
| 2026-03-12 | @ LAL | 31 | 18.92 | +63.8% | 15 | 6/9 | 5/6 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -11.0 | 76% |
| 2026-03-10 | @ GSW | 38 | 16.18 | +134.8% | 17 | 8/16 | 7/13 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +14.0 | 53% |
| 2026-03-08 | @ SAC | 1 | 16.88 | -94.1% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-05 | @ PHX | 24 | 13.07 | +83.6% | 8 | 3/9 | 3/4 | 0/5 | 2/2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +11.0 | 41% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS2.8%1/36 games
10+ REBOUNDS2.8%1/36 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/36 games
2+ THREES11.1%4/36 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER51.2descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#94of 409 ranked
PH$13.5MRotation
SAMPLE36observed games
Ball security62
Box defence32
Creation22
Efficiency69
Rebounding56
Scoring51
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+20.8 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+14.8 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY61-0.8 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
CHI
Chicago Bulls
EXPECTED MIN12.8
SCORING SHARE5.1%
CREATION SHARE2.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR68.2%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.
MIN
Minnesota Timberwolves
EXPECTED MIN2.3
SCORING SHARE1.8%
CREATION SHARE1.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR45.9%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.