Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Kyle Filipowski
Utah Jazz current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER47.82025–26
NBA RANK#135of 409
PH$15.9MCore · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN31.2governed role
NEXT GAME@ Memphis Grizzlies2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-2.0 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN22.8
PTS10.6
REB6.9
AST2.3
STL0.9
BLK0.4
3PM0.8
FG%48.4%
3P%30.1%
FT%74.0%
+/--3.6
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Utah Jazz
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED32.22pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G7.4 PTS · 4.2 REB · 1.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G16 PTS · 9.4 REB · 3.4 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G6.2 PTS · 2.9 REB · 1.3 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G11.8 PTS · 7.5 REB · 2.1 AST
creation↑
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring↑
HOT historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS49.1%500/1019
2-POINT59.3%375/632
3-POINT32.3%125/387
FREE THROW70.5%220/312
EFFECTIVE FG%55.2%
TRUE SHOOTING%58.2%
AST / TO1.46
PTS PER 3616.4rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 67 | 22.39 | 10.75 | 6.67 | 2.07 | 1.19 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Away | 68 | 21.37 | 9.19 | 6.32 | 2.15 | 0.66 | 0.82 | 0.32 |
| Home − Away | — | +1.0 | +1.6 | +0.3 | -0.1 | +0.5 | -0.1 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2.11 | high |
| minutes | 15 | 22 | 29 | 21.87 | medium |
| points | 4 | 9 | 15 | 9.96 | high |
| rebounds | 3 | 6 | 10 | 6.5 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES2216.3% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | @ OKC | 38 | 26.58 | +43% | 20 | 10/25 | 10/20 | 0/5 | 0/1 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -17.0 | 39% |
| 2026-04-03 | @ HOU | 30 | 26.58 | +12.9% | 17 | 8/16 | 8/12 | 0/4 | 1/1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -22.0 | 52% |
| 2026-03-27 | @ DEN | 25 | 26.58 | -6% | 25 | 11/17 | 10/11 | 1/6 | 2/4 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +15.0 | 67% |
| 2026-03-09 | vs GSW | 25 | 24.19 | +3.3% | 19 | 6/12 | 5/9 | 1/3 | 6/6 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +1.0 | 65% |
| 2026-03-07 | @ MIL | 34 | 21.98 | +54.7% | 14 | 4/11 | 3/6 | 1/5 | 5/5 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11.0 | 53% |
| 2026-03-04 | @ PHI | 22 | 23.64 | -7% | 6 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +3.0 | 77% |
| 2026-03-02 | vs DEN | 29 | 20.77 | +39.6% | 19 | 5/8 | 4/5 | 1/3 | 8/9 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +1.0 | 79% |
| 2026-02-28 | vs NOP | 29 | 19.54 | +48.4% | 12 | 2/10 | 2/5 | 0/5 | 8/9 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -10.0 | 43% |
| 2026-02-26 | vs NOP | 18 | 19.13 | -5.9% | 13 | 5/7 | 3/4 | 2/3 | 1/2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -20.0 | 83% |
| 2026-02-23 | @ HOU | 24 | 17.5 | +37.1% | 13 | 4/10 | 3/8 | 1/2 | 4/6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -24.0 | 51% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS7.8%5/64 games
10+ REBOUNDS21.9%14/64 games
5+ ASSISTS14.1%9/64 games
2+ THREES20.3%13/64 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | UTA | 64 | 47.8 | #135 / 409 | 15.9M | Core |
| 2024–25 | UTA | 71 | 48.0 | #150 / 422 | 14.8M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER47.8descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#135of 409 ranked
PH$15.9MCore
SAMPLE64observed games
Ball security34
Box defence45
Creation35
Efficiency50
Rebounding71
Scoring47
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-3.4 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+2.5 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+8.5 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY84-2.0 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
UTA
Utah Jazz
EXPECTED MIN21.0
SCORING SHARE8.2%
CREATION SHARE7.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR85.8%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.