CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Keaton Wallace

Atlanta Hawks current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Atlanta Hawks · current teamGTexas-San Antonio

AF-PLAYER35.12025–26

NBA RANK#327of 409

PH$6.2MDepth · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN8.6governed role

NEXT GAME@ Orlando Magic2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-0.9 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES82

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS4.3

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS1.3

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS2.1

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

51 games

MIN10.4

PTS3.6

REB1.1

AST1.8

STL0.5

BLK0.1

3PM0.8

FG%39.1%

3P%37.3%

FT%66.7%

+/--2.1

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Atlanta Hawks

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · AWAY@ Orlando Magic50.6% winProjected 112–114

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Charlotte Hornets42.8% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-24 · HOMEvs Houston Rockets55.0% winProjected 112–114

2026-10-26 · AWAY@ Houston Rockets40.4% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Miami Heat61.2% winProjected 114–116

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL32minutes

EXPECTED2.26pregame reference

DEVIATION+1317.4%expanded minutes

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G1.6 PTS · 0.8 REB · 1.6 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G2.4 PTS · 0.4 REB · 1 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0.8 PTS · 0.4 REB · 0.8 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G2.7 PTS · 1.1 REB · 1.9 AST

creation↓

efficiency→

minutes→

rebounding↓

scoring↑

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 82 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS39.6%131/331

2-POINT44.9%66/147

3-POINT35.3%65/184

FREE THROW79.3%23/29

EFFECTIVE FG%49.4%

TRUE SHOOTING%50.9%

AST / TO2.85

PTS PER 3612.2rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

42 HOME · 40 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	42	12.17	3.98	1.31	1.98	0.67	0.62	0.29
Away	40	13.05	4.58	1.25	2.27	0.93	0.62	0.05
Home − Away	—	-0.9	-0.6	+0.1	-0.3	-0.3	0.0	+0.2

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

82 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	2	3.8	2.12	high
minutes	3	12	19	12.6	high
points	0	3	7	4.27	high
rebounds	0	1	2	1.28	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

82 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES11.2% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES11.2% of games

10+ ASSISTS11.2%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	DR	REB	AST	STL	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-12	@ MIA	32	2.26	+1317.4%	8	2/13	1/5	1/8	3/4	4	4	6	0	1	3	-28.0	27%
2026-04-10	vs CLE	8	0.97	+722.5%	0	0/1	0/0	0/1	0/0	0	0	2	1	2	0	-8.0	0%
2026-04-01	@ ORL	3	1.57	+91.2%	0	0/2	0/1	0/1	0/0	0	0	0	1	0	1	+6.0	0%
2026-03-23	vs MEM	8	1.59	+404.2%	9	3/4	0/0	3/4	0/0	1	1	2	0	1	2	-2.0	113%
2026-03-20	@ HOU	3	1.83	+64%	0	0/1	0/0	0/1	0/0	0	0	0	0	1	0	-1.0	0%
2026-03-18	@ DAL	2	1.54	+29.8%	2	1/1	1/1	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-5.0	100%
2026-03-14	vs MIL	3	1.73	+73.6%	2	1/2	1/1	0/1	0/0	2	2	1	0	0	0	0.0	50%
2026-03-04	@ MIL	2	4.17	-52%	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	1	0	-2.0	—
2026-03-01	vs POR	4	3.5	+14.4%	2	1/1	1/1	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	+2.0	100%
2026-02-26	vs WAS	13	1.49	+773.8%	0	0/3	0/3	0/0	0/0	1	1	1	0	0	1	+10.0	0%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/51 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/51 games

5+ ASSISTS11.8%6/51 games

2+ THREES23.5%12/51 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	ATL	51	10.4	3.6	1.1	1.8	39.1%	37.3%	66.7%
2024–25	ATL	31	16.2	5.4	1.6	2.6	40.1%	32.9%	100.0%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	ATL	55	35.1	#327 / 409	6.2M	Depth
2024–25	ATL	31	34.2	#352 / 422	6M	Depth

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#327 OF 409

AF-PLAYER35.1descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#327of 409 ranked

PH$6.2MDepth

SAMPLE55observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+6.2 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT+3.5 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGESTABLE-1.3 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY10-0.9 pp next-game What If impact

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

ATL

Atlanta Hawks

EXPECTED MIN6.5

SCORING SHARE2.8%

CREATION SHARE5.1%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR60.2%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.