Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Karl-Anthony Towns
New York Knicks current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER61.42025–26
NBA RANK#14of 409
PH$28.3MHigh Value · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN35.4governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Philadelphia 76ers2026-10-20WHAT IF IMPACT-2.3 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN31.0
PTS20.0
REB11.9
AST2.9
STL0.9
BLK0.5
3PM1.5
FG%50.0%
3P%37.1%
FT%86.0%
+/-+4.6
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · New York Knicks
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED30.62pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G11.8 PTS · 6.8 REB · 3 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G18.6 PTS · 10.2 REB · 3.6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G13 PTS · 7.7 REB · 2.3 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G22.2 PTS · 12.2 REB · 3.3 AST
creation↑
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS50.9%3178/6243
2-POINT56.3%2349/4173
3-POINT40.1%829/2070
FREE THROW84.3%1879/2230
EFFECTIVE FG%57.5%
TRUE SHOOTING%62.7%
AST / TO1.26
PTS PER 3625.13rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 196 | 33.08 | 22.7 | 10.69 | 3.51 | 2.12 | 0.87 | 0.79 |
| Away | 195 | 33.35 | 23.67 | 10.44 | 3.64 | 2.12 | 0.86 | 0.89 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.3 | -1.0 | +0.3 | -0.1 | 0.0 | +0.0 | -0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3.57 | high |
| minutes | 29.4 | 33.4 | 37 | 33.21 | low |
| points | 17 | 23 | 29 | 23.18 | medium |
| rebounds | 7 | 10 | 14 | 10.57 | medium |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES23860.9% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES20.5% of games
10+ ASSISTS30.8%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | vs TOR | 30 | 28.83 | +4.1% | 22 | 8/12 | 7/9 | 1/3 | 5/5 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +11.0 | 78% |
| 2026-04-09 | vs BOS | 30 | 28.26 | +6.1% | 16 | 6/12 | 5/8 | 1/4 | 3/3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +5.0 | 60% |
| 2026-04-06 | @ ATL | 32 | 27.65 | +15.7% | 21 | 9/12 | 7/8 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +2.0 | 84% |
| 2026-03-31 | @ HOU | 34 | 26.74 | +27.2% | 22 | 7/17 | 5/13 | 2/4 | 6/8 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -11.0 | 54% |
| 2026-03-29 | @ OKC | 34 | 26.33 | +29.1% | 15 | 5/9 | 5/8 | 0/1 | 5/5 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -10.0 | 67% |
| 2026-03-26 | @ CHA | 22 | 23.77 | -7.4% | 13 | 5/8 | 4/7 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -18.0 | 73% |
| 2026-03-24 | vs NOP | 24 | 25.45 | -5.7% | 21 | 8/17 | 6/11 | 2/6 | 3/3 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -11.0 | 57% |
| 2026-03-22 | vs WAS | 26 | 26.69 | -2.6% | 26 | 9/13 | 8/11 | 1/2 | 7/7 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +16.0 | 81% |
| 2026-03-20 | @ BKN | 29 | 26.48 | +9.5% | 26 | 7/16 | 6/13 | 1/3 | 11/13 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +7.0 | 60% |
| 2026-03-15 | vs GSW | 31 | 26.66 | +16.3% | 17 | 7/12 | 7/10 | 0/2 | 3/4 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 62% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS52.1%37/71 games
10+ REBOUNDS78.9%56/71 games
5+ ASSISTS15.5%11/71 games
2+ THREES42.3%30/71 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | NYK | 71 | 31.0 | 20.0 | 11.9 | 2.9 | 50.0% | 37.1% | 86.0% |
| 2024–25 | NYK | 70 | 35.1 | 24.4 | 12.9 | 3.1 | 52.3% | 42.2% | 83.0% |
| 2023–24 | MIN | 62 | 32.7 | 21.8 | 8.3 | 3.0 | 50.4% | 41.6% | 87.3% |
| 2022–23 | MIN | 29 | 33.0 | 20.8 | 8.1 | 4.8 | 49.5% | 36.6% | 87.4% |
| 2021–22 | MIN | 74 | 33.5 | 24.6 | 9.8 | 3.6 | 52.9% | 40.9% | 82.2% |
| 2020–21 | MIN | 50 | 33.8 | 24.8 | 10.6 | 4.5 | 48.6% | 38.7% | 85.9% |
| 2019–20 | MIN | 35 | 33.9 | 26.5 | 10.8 | 4.4 | 50.8% | 41.2% | 79.7% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | NYK | 91 | 61.4 | #14 / 409 | 28.3M | High Value |
| 2024–25 | NYK | 88 | 61.8 | #21 / 422 | 28M | High Value |
| 2023–24 | MIN | 78 | 54.7 | #65 / 409 | 23.1M | Core |
| 2022–23 | MIN | 36 | 54.6 | #54 / 408 | 18.7M | Core |
| 2021–22 | MIN | 81 | 65.8 | #5 / 423 | 29M | High Value |
| 2020–21 | MIN | 51 | 64.2 | #13 / 410 | 24.9M | Core |
| 2019–20 | MIN | 37 | 67.5 | #3 / 385 | 22.5M | Core |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER61.4descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#14of 409 ranked
PH$28.3MHigh Value
SAMPLE91observed games
Ball security38
Box defence42
Creation33
Efficiency72
Rebounding85
Scoring74
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+17.0 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+1.6 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+4.6 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY93-2.3 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
NYK
New York Knicks
EXPECTED MIN28.6
SCORING SHARE16.9%
CREATION SHARE12.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR82.8%
+10.02 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 74 normal-load / 6 nonparticipation games.