Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
Justin Minaya
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYER27.62023–24
NBA RANK#394of 409
PH$5.3MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2024–25
MIN5.4
PTS1.0
REB0.6
AST0.4
STL0.3
BLK0.1
3PM0.1
FG%38.1%
3P%20.0%
FT%0.0%
+/--0.7
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2024–25
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL18minutes
EXPECTED8.66pregame reference
DEVIATION+107.8%expanded minutes
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G3.2 PTS · 1 REB · 1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT3 G0 PTS · 0.33 REB · 0.33 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G1.8 PTS · 0.7 REB · 0.5 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT3 G0 PTS · 0.33 REB · 0.33 AST
creation—
efficiency—
minutes—
rebounding—
scoring—
Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS31.4%37/118
2-POINT42.5%20/47
3-POINT23.9%17/71
FREE THROW41.7%5/12
EFFECTIVE FG%38.6%
TRUE SHOOTING%38.9%
AST / TO1.88
PTS PER 366.17rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 28 | 9.68 | 1.46 | 1.39 | 0.54 | 0.29 | 0.25 | 0.14 |
| Away | 27 | 10.7 | 2.04 | 1.52 | 0.63 | 0.33 | 0.37 | 0.44 |
| Home − Away | — | -1.0 | -0.6 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.0 | -0.1 | -0.3 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.58 | high |
| minutes | 2 | 8 | 17.2 | 10.18 | high |
| points | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.75 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 1 | 2.2 | 1.45 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2024–25
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-13 | vs LAL | 18 | 8.66 | +107.8% | 5 | 2/5 | 1/2 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.0 | 50% |
| 2025-04-11 | vs GSW | 15 | 6.46 | +132.2% | 4 | 2/4 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +7.0 | 50% |
| 2025-04-09 | @ UTA | 6 | 5.8 | +3.5% | 0 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 | 0% |
| 2025-04-06 | vs SAS | 14 | 3.77 | +271.5% | 5 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +14.0 | 63% |
| 2025-04-04 | @ CHI | 10 | 2.13 | +369.1% | 2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4.0 | 100% |
| 2025-04-03 | @ TOR | 8 | 0.83 | +866.6% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | — |
| 2025-04-01 | @ ATL | 1 | 0.92 | +8.2% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| 2025-03-30 | @ NYK | 1 | 1.05 | -4.5% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 | 0% |
| 2025-03-27 | @ SAC | 2 | 0.73 | +173.7% | 2 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 50% |
| 2025-03-21 | vs DEN | 2 | 0.4 | +395.8% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 | — |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2024–25
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/18 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/18 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/18 games
2+ THREES0.0%0/18 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2023–24
AF-PLAYER27.6descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#394of 409 ranked
PH$5.3MDepth
SAMPLE33observed games
Ball security63
Box defence34
Creation34
Efficiency15
Rebounding42
Scoring13
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2024–25
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
POR
Portland Trail Blazers
EXPECTED MIN1.8
SCORING SHARE0.1%
CREATION SHARE0.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR42.7%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.