CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Josh Giddey

Chicago Bulls current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Chicago Bulls · current teamGAustraliaNBA Global Academy

AF-PLAYER54.12025–26

NBA RANK#63of 409

PH$20.9MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN35.4governed role

NEXT GAME@ Toronto Raptors2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-1.3 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES329

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS14.6

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS7.6

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS6.5

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

50 games

MIN32.1

PTS17.5

REB8.2

AST9.1

STL1.0

BLK0.4

3PM2.0

FG%45.5%

3P%38.0%

FT%76.3%

+/--2.9

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Chicago Bulls

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · AWAY@ Toronto Raptors33.8% winProjected 112–116

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Milwaukee Bucks42.1% winProjected 113–115

2026-10-24 · HOMEvs Washington Wizards58.9% winProjected 113–118

2026-10-26 · AWAY@ Boston Celtics25.8% winProjected 111–116

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs New York Knicks32.5% winProjected 115–112

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED33.71pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G13 PTS · 5.8 REB · 11.4 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0.9 PTS · 0.7 REB · 1 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G14.5 PTS · 6.8 REB · 11.1 AST

creation↑

efficiency↓

minutes→

rebounding↓

scoring↓

COLD historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 329 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS46.2%1891/4091

2-POINT51.4%1474/2866

3-POINT34.0%417/1225

FREE THROW76.3%594/779

EFFECTIVE FG%51.3%

TRUE SHOOTING%54.0%

AST / TO2.32

PTS PER 3617.66rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

165 HOME · 164 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	165	29.46	14.45	7.8	6.82	1.21	0.91	0.54
Away	164	29.92	14.68	7.38	6.24	1.32	0.87	0.45
Home − Away	—	-0.5	-0.2	+0.4	+0.6	-0.1	+0.0	+0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

329 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	4	6	9	6.53	high
minutes	25	30	34	29.69	low
points	9	15	20	14.57	medium
rebounds	5	7	10	7.59	medium

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

329 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES10933.1% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES298.8% of games

10+ ASSISTS6519.8%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-03-30	@ SAS	33	33.76	-2.3%	9	3/5	1/2	2/3	1/2	1	6	7	10	0	1	2	0	-18.0	77%
2026-03-25	@ PHI	33	34.72	-5%	23	8/13	5/7	3/6	4/4	3	6	9	12	0	1	4	2	-15.0	78%
2026-03-23	vs HOU	39	34.39	+13.4%	15	4/14	1/6	3/8	4/4	0	7	7	13	2	1	2	2	+7.0	48%
2026-03-19	vs CLE	37	33.6	+10.1%	9	4/11	3/6	1/5	0/0	1	5	6	19	1	2	5	5	-5.0	41%
2026-03-18	vs TOR	27	30.33	-11%	9	4/13	3/5	1/8	0/1	0	0	0	3	1	0	3	2	-30.0	34%
2026-03-13	@ LAC	39	28.85	+35.2%	20	8/20	4/9	4/11	0/0	2	9	11	10	2	1	2	3	-1.0	50%
2026-03-12	@ LAL	40	27.22	+46.9%	27	10/17	4/8	6/9	1/2	2	6	8	15	2	0	6	1	-8.0	76%
2026-03-10	@ GSW	43	24.34	+76.7%	21	7/16	3/7	4/9	3/4	2	11	13	17	0	0	5	4	+14.0	59%
2026-03-08	@ SAC	34	22.41	+51.7%	15	6/13	4/7	2/6	1/1	1	11	12	10	1	0	3	0	0.0	56%
2026-03-03	vs OKC	33	23.13	+42.7%	14	5/12	2/5	3/7	1/2	1	8	9	9	1	2	4	1	-15.0	54%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS40.0%20/50 games

10+ REBOUNDS34.0%17/50 games

5+ ASSISTS92.0%46/50 games

2+ THREES60.0%30/50 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	CHI	50	32.1	17.5	8.2	9.1	45.5%	38.0%	76.3%
2024–25	CHI	69	30.2	14.5	8.1	7.2	46.4%	37.9%	77.8%
2023–24	OKC	80	25.1	12.3	6.4	4.8	47.5%	33.7%	80.7%
2022–23	OKC	76	31.2	16.6	7.9	6.2	48.2%	32.5%	73.1%
2021–22	OKC	54	31.5	12.5	7.8	6.4	41.9%	26.3%	70.9%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	CHI	50	54.1	#63 / 409	20.9M	Core
2024–25	CHI	70	55.0	#62 / 422	22.6M	Core
2023–24	OKC	90	49.2	#123 / 409	18.2M	Core
2022–23	OKC	78	48.5	#119 / 408	19.2M	Core
2021–22	OKC	54	40.0	#261 / 423	10.7M	Rotation

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#63 OF 409

AF-PLAYER54.1descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#63of 409 ranked

PH$20.9MCore

SAMPLE50observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+5.7 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT-0.7 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+3.3 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY81-1.3 pp next-game What If impact

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

CHI

Chicago Bulls

EXPECTED MIN22.4

SCORING SHARE14.8%

CREATION SHARE29.3%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR65.8%

-3.81 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 32 normal-load / 3 nonparticipation games.