Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Johnny Furphy
Indiana Pacers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER32.92025–26
NBA RANK#352of 409
PH$5.7MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN0.8governed role
NEXT GAME@ New Orleans Pelicans2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN16.9
PTS4.3
REB4.2
AST0.9
STL0.5
BLK0.3
3PM0.5
FG%43.0%
3P%31.7%
FT%57.7%
+/-+0.7
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Indiana Pacers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED0.31pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT3 G5.33 PTS · 6.67 REB · 1.67 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT3 G5.33 PTS · 6.67 REB · 1.67 AST
creation—
efficiency—
minutes—
rebounding—
scoring—
Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS41.0%66/161
2-POINT51.3%40/78
3-POINT31.3%26/83
FREE THROW65.9%29/44
EFFECTIVE FG%49.1%
TRUE SHOOTING%51.8%
AST / TO1.42
PTS PER 369.12rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 39 | 9.49 | 2 | 2 | 0.49 | 0.28 | 0.44 | 0.23 |
| Away | 31 | 11.87 | 3.52 | 2.68 | 0.58 | 0.48 | 0.39 | 0.23 |
| Home − Away | — | -2.4 | -1.5 | -0.7 | -0.1 | -0.2 | +0.1 | 0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.53 | high |
| minutes | 3 | 8 | 18 | 10.54 | high |
| points | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2.67 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2.3 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES11.4% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | vs HOU | 14 | 21.88 | -36% | 2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4.0 | 69% |
| 2026-01-31 | vs ATL | 13 | 22.67 | -42.7% | 0 | 0/3 | 0/1 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -9.0 | 0% |
| 2026-01-28 | vs CHI | 22 | 22.86 | -3.8% | 2 | 0/4 | 0/3 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 | 21% |
| 2026-01-26 | @ ATL | 18 | 24.1 | -25.3% | 6 | 2/5 | 2/3 | 0/2 | 2/2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +15.0 | 51% |
| 2026-01-23 | @ OKC | 33 | 20.94 | +57.6% | 4 | 2/9 | 2/6 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 22% |
| 2026-01-21 | @ BOS | 23 | — | — | 10 | 4/7 | 2/3 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +8.0 | 71% |
| 2026-01-19 | @ PHI | 14 | — | — | 3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5.0 | 150% |
| 2026-01-16 | vs NOP | 29 | — | — | 7 | 3/8 | 2/4 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +6.0 | 44% |
| 2026-01-14 | vs TOR | 26 | — | — | 10 | 3/6 | 1/2 | 2/4 | 2/8 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +6.0 | 53% |
| 2026-01-12 | vs BOS | 16 | — | — | 4 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +12.0 | 106% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/24 games
10+ REBOUNDS12.5%3/24 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/24 games
2+ THREES8.3%2/24 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | IND | 24 | 32.9 | #352 / 409 | 5.7M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | IND | 58 | 25.2 | #415 / 422 | 5.2M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER32.9descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#352of 409 ranked
PH$5.7MDepth
SAMPLE24observed games
Ball security41
Box defence39
Creation24
Efficiency35
Rebounding51
Scoring17
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+14.0 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+12.3 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-16.1 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
IND
Indiana Pacers
EXPECTED MIN8.5
SCORING SHARE3.3%
CREATION SHARE2.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR55.7%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.