Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Jericho Sims
Milwaukee Bucks current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER46.42025–26
NBA RANK#155of 409
PH$12.8MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN23.4governed role
NEXT GAME@ Washington Wizards2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-0.6 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN18.7
PTS4.5
REB5.3
AST1.2
STL0.2
BLK0.2
3PM0.0
FG%81.1%
3P%—
FT%63.8%
+/--5.1
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Milwaukee Bucks
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED22.89pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G6.8 PTS · 5.4 REB · 1.6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G2.2 PTS · 3.5 REB · 0.7 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G5.9 PTS · 6.7 REB · 1.9 AST
creation↑
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring↑
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS74.5%312/419
2-POINT74.6%312/418
3-POINT—0/1
FREE THROW60.5%78/129
EFFECTIVE FG%74.5%
TRUE SHOOTING%73.8%
AST / TO1.11
PTS PER 367.03rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 125 | 14.39 | 2.53 | 4.18 | 0.75 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.37 |
| Away | 117 | 15.33 | 3.3 | 4.43 | 0.63 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.45 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.9 | -0.8 | -0.3 | +0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.69 | high |
| minutes | 4.2 | 14.8 | 23 | 14.85 | high |
| points | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2.9 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4.3 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES72.9% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | @ HOU | 36 | 22.36 | +61% | 6 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 0/0 | 4/6 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7.0 | 39% |
| 2026-03-29 | vs LAC | 23 | 22.69 | +1.4% | 6 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -16.0 | 60% |
| 2026-03-28 | vs SAS | 22 | 22.85 | -3.7% | 10 | 5/7 | 5/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.0 | 71% |
| 2026-03-25 | @ POR | 29 | 19.07 | +52.1% | 12 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -21.0 | 89% |
| 2026-03-21 | @ PHX | 25 | 18.78 | +33.2% | 5 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +5.0 | 91% |
| 2026-03-17 | vs CLE | 16 | 20.95 | -23.6% | 4 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -18.0 | 58% |
| 2026-03-14 | @ ATL | 25 | 20.81 | +20.1% | 7 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -7.0 | 93% |
| 2026-03-12 | @ MIA | 22 | 20.98 | +4.9% | 7 | 3/3 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 | 102% |
| 2026-03-08 | vs ORL | 25 | 24.09 | +3.8% | 10 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -30.0 | 100% |
| 2026-03-07 | vs UTA | 30 | 24.19 | +24% | 6 | 3/4 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2.0 | 62% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/54 games
10+ REBOUNDS16.7%9/54 games
5+ ASSISTS1.8%1/54 games
2+ THREES0.0%0/54 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | MIL | 55 | 46.4 | #155 / 409 | 12.8M | Rotation |
| 2024–25 | MIL | 58 | 46.4 | #174 / 422 | 11.2M | Rotation |
| 2023–24 | NYK | 50 | 48.6 | #134 / 409 | 12.7M | Rotation |
| 2022–23 | NYK | 52 | 46.0 | #160 / 408 | 11.5M | Rotation |
| 2021–22 | NYK | 70 | 49.7 | #108 / 423 | 14M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER46.4descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#155of 409 ranked
PH$12.8MRotation
SAMPLE55observed games
Ball security18
Box defence19
Creation19
Efficiency87
Rebounding73
Scoring9
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+14.2 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+3.3 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+5.0 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY50-0.6 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
MIL
Milwaukee Bucks
EXPECTED MIN13.0
SCORING SHARE3.3%
CREATION SHARE3.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR68.3%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.