Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Jalen Wilson
Atlanta Hawks current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER28.72025–26
NBA RANK#387of 409
PH$5.5MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN7.8governed role
NEXT GAME@ Orlando Magic2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-1.2 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN14.9
PTS5.8
REB1.8
AST0.6
STL0.4
BLK0.1
3PM1.0
FG%38.5%
3P%34.2%
FT%71.8%
+/--3.7
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Atlanta Hawks
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED14.49pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G1.8 PTS · 1.4 REB · 0.4 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G2.8 PTS · 1 REB · 0.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT7 G2.57 PTS · 1.14 REB · 0.43 AST
creation→
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring↓
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS39.7%391/985
2-POINT47.5%209/440
3-POINT33.4%182/545
FREE THROW79.0%218/276
EFFECTIVE FG%48.9%
TRUE SHOOTING%53.4%
AST / TO1.72
PTS PER 3612.97rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 75 | 21.19 | 7.53 | 3.09 | 1.57 | 1.2 | 0.41 | 0.05 |
| Away | 86 | 19.66 | 7.17 | 2.71 | 1.07 | 1.07 | 0.41 | 0.08 |
| Home − Away | — | +1.5 | +0.4 | +0.4 | +0.5 | +0.1 | 0.0 | -0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.3 | high |
| minutes | 12 | 21 | 30 | 20.37 | medium |
| points | 2 | 7 | 11 | 7.34 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2.89 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES10.6% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | vs CHA | 9 | 13.02 | -30.9% | 4 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4.0 | 53% |
| 2026-03-27 | @ LAL | 15 | 10.65 | +40.8% | 9 | 3/11 | 2/5 | 1/6 | 2/3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8.0 | 37% |
| 2026-03-25 | @ GSW | 23 | 8.99 | +155.9% | 15 | 4/9 | 3/6 | 1/3 | 6/8 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -9.0 | 60% |
| 2026-03-23 | @ POR | 31 | 6.18 | +401.6% | 11 | 4/9 | 4/6 | 0/3 | 3/5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -13.0 | 49% |
| 2026-03-12 | @ ATL | 17 | 6.5 | +161.4% | 5 | 2/5 | 1/2 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.0 | 50% |
| 2026-03-10 | vs DET | 25 | 2.98 | +740.3% | 14 | 5/11 | 2/3 | 3/8 | 1/3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -4.0 | 57% |
| 2026-03-05 | @ MIA | 2 | 6.51 | -69.3% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 | — |
| 2026-02-26 | vs SAS | 5 | 8.94 | -44.1% | 9 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 | 113% |
| 2026-02-20 | @ OKC | 16 | 7.19 | +122.5% | 5 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -13.0 | 87% |
| 2026-02-19 | @ CLE | 7 | 10.07 | -30.5% | 3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 | 75% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/43 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/43 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/43 games
2+ THREES25.6%11/43 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | BKN | 43 | 28.7 | #387 / 409 | 5.5M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | BKN | 77 | 29.4 | #394 / 422 | 7.2M | Depth |
| 2023–24 | BKN | 42 | 35.9 | #323 / 409 | 6.6M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER28.7descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#387of 409 ranked
PH$5.5MDepth
SAMPLE43observed games
Ball security66
Box defence19
Creation12
Efficiency33
Rebounding17
Scoring35
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-6.9 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-1.3 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-7.1 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY28-1.2 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
BKN
Brooklyn Nets
EXPECTED MIN9.4
SCORING SHARE5.5%
CREATION SHARE2.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR60.3%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.