Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Jalen Suggs
Orlando Magic current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER42.52025–26
NBA RANK#211of 409
PH$13MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN32.6governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Atlanta Hawks2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT+0.6 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN27.7
PTS13.9
REB3.9
AST5.4
STL1.9
BLK0.7
3PM2.1
FG%43.4%
3P%33.8%
FT%85.5%
+/-+2.9
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Orlando Magic
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL38minutes
EXPECTED29.12pregame reference
DEVIATION+30.5%expanded minutes
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G11.4 PTS · 3.2 REB · 5.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G11.6 PTS · 4.2 REB · 7.4 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G12.4 PTS · 4.1 REB · 6.1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G11.1 PTS · 4.5 REB · 6.5 AST
creation→
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring↓
COLD historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS42.2%1190/2818
2-POINT50.9%735/1443
3-POINT33.1%455/1375
FREE THROW79.3%527/665
EFFECTIVE FG%50.3%
TRUE SHOOTING%54.0%
AST / TO1.61
PTS PER 3617.03rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 136 | 27.39 | 13.27 | 3.43 | 4.11 | 1.79 | 1.41 | 0.66 |
| Away | 130 | 26.02 | 11.98 | 3.47 | 3.37 | 1.62 | 1.49 | 0.57 |
| Home − Away | — | +1.4 | +1.3 | -0.0 | +0.7 | +0.2 | -0.1 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3.75 | high |
| minutes | 21 | 27.5 | 32.8 | 26.72 | low |
| points | 7 | 12 | 18 | 12.64 | high |
| rebounds | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3.45 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES62.3% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.4% of games
10+ ASSISTS83.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | @ BOS | 38 | 29.12 | +30.5% | 23 | 8/17 | 1/2 | 7/15 | 0/0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +6.0 | 68% |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIN | 25 | 29 | -13.8% | 11 | 4/6 | 1/1 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +13.0 | 92% |
| 2026-04-06 | vs DET | 34 | 29.01 | +17.2% | 12 | 4/9 | 2/6 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +30.0 | 61% |
| 2026-04-05 | @ NOP | 34 | 24.57 | +38.4% | 11 | 4/19 | 1/7 | 3/12 | 0/0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1.0 | 29% |
| 2026-04-03 | @ DAL | 31 | 24.56 | +26.2% | 19 | 8/12 | 5/6 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0.0 | 79% |
| 2026-04-01 | vs ATL | 26 | 21.67 | +20% | 7 | 3/12 | 3/7 | 0/5 | 1/1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -13.0 | 28% |
| 2026-03-31 | vs PHX | 38 | 20.9 | +81.8% | 20 | 6/11 | 4/6 | 2/5 | 6/6 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +15.0 | 73% |
| 2026-03-29 | @ TOR | 26 | 20.61 | +26.1% | 13 | 5/11 | 3/5 | 2/6 | 1/1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -16.0 | 57% |
| 2026-03-26 | vs SAC | 34 | 19.98 | +70.2% | 8 | 3/8 | 1/3 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.0 | 50% |
| 2026-03-21 | vs LAL | 34 | 27.47 | +23.8% | 14 | 5/9 | 3/3 | 2/6 | 2/2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -20.0 | 71% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS21.8%12/55 games
10+ REBOUNDS1.8%1/55 games
5+ ASSISTS56.4%31/55 games
2+ THREES65.5%36/55 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | ORL | 64 | 42.5 | #211 / 409 | 13M | Rotation |
| 2024–25 | ORL | 35 | 42.4 | #224 / 422 | 10.2M | Rotation |
| 2023–24 | ORL | 82 | 44.2 | #188 / 409 | 14.7M | Rotation |
| 2022–23 | ORL | 53 | 37.5 | #291 / 408 | 8.1M | Depth |
| 2021–22 | ORL | 49 | 33.9 | #353 / 423 | 7.2M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER42.5descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#211of 409 ranked
PH$13MRotation
SAMPLE64observed games
Ball security23
Box defence62
Creation67
Efficiency32
Rebounding20
Scoring51
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-24.3 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+1.5 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+4.0 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY56+0.6 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
ORL
Orlando Magic
EXPECTED MIN19.7
SCORING SHARE12.2%
CREATION SHARE19.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR65.6%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.