CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Jahmir Young

Miami Heat current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Miami Heat · current teamGMaryland

AF-PLAYERPendingsample gate

NBA RANK—not ranked

PH$—pending · how PH$ works

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN0.0governed role

NEXT GAMEvs Minnesota Timberwolves2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES15

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS2.1

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS0.5

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS0.8

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

11 games

MIN4.9

PTS2.3

REB0.4

AST0.7

STL0.1

BLK0.0

3PM0.3

FG%43.5%

3P%33.3%

FT%100.0%

+/-+0.0

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Miami Heat

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · HOMEvs Minnesota Timberwolves56.4% winProjected 113–116

2026-10-23 · HOMEvs Detroit Pistons50.9% winProjected 113–114

2026-10-24 · AWAY@ Charlotte Hornets38.9% winProjected 113–117

2026-10-26 · HOMEvs Dallas Mavericks66.8% winProjected 113–117

2026-10-28 · AWAY@ Atlanta Hawks38.8% winProjected 114–116

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL3minutes

EXPECTED0.62pregame reference

DEVIATION+386.5%expanded minutes

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G1 PTS · 0 REB · 0.4 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT2 G1 PTS · 0 REB · 0.5 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0.5 PTS · 0 REB · 0.2 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT2 G1 PTS · 0 REB · 0.5 AST

creation—

efficiency—

minutes—

rebounding—

scoring—

Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 15 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS48.1%13/27

2-POINT—9/16

3-POINT—4/11

FREE THROW—2/2

EFFECTIVE FG%55.6%

TRUE SHOOTING%57.4%

AST / TO3

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

8 HOME · 7 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	8	4.38	1.38	0.62	0.88	0.25	0.12	0
Away	7	5.57	3	0.43	0.71	0.29	0	0
Home − Away	—	-1.2	-1.6	+0.2	+0.2	-0.0	+0.1	0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

15 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	1	1	0.8	high
minutes	2.8	4	8	4.93	high
points	0	2	3	2.13	high
rebounds	0	0	1	0.53	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

15 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS00.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-12	vs ATL	3	0.62	+386.5%	3	1/1	0/0	1/1	0/0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	+8.0	150%
2026-04-09	@ TOR	3	—	—	2	1/1	1/1	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	+11.0	100%
2026-03-17	@ CHA	4	—	—	3	1/2	1/1	0/1	1/1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	-4.0	62%
2026-02-08	@ WAS	8	1.98	+303.8%	2	1/4	1/3	0/1	0/0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	-1.0	25%
2026-02-03	vs ATL	1	2.04	-50.9%	3	1/1	1/1	0/0	1/1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	+3.0	104%
2026-02-01	vs CHI	10	—	—	2	1/3	1/2	0/1	0/0	1	0	1	2	0	0	1	0.0	33%
2025-12-06	vs SAC	8	—	—	0	0/1	0/0	0/1	0/0	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	-3.0	0%
2025-11-23	@ PHI	1	—	—	2	1/2	1/1	0/1	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	-2.0	50%
2025-11-21	@ CHI	6	—	—	6	2/5	0/3	2/2	0/0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	-3.0	60%
2025-10-28	vs CHA	3	—	—	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.0	—

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/11 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/11 games

5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/11 games

2+ THREES9.1%1/11 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	MIA	11	4.9	2.3	0.4	0.7	43.5%	33.3%	100.0%
2024–25	CHI	4	5.0	1.8	1.0	1.0	75.0%	50.0%	—

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

PENDING SAMPLE

ProbHoops has observed 12 games of this player in 2025–26 — below the sample floor required to rank. He carries no AF-Player and no PH$. Pending means not enough observation, never a low score.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role

AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required

ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable

STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

MIA

Miami Heat

EXPECTED MIN1.3

SCORING SHARE1.5%

CREATION SHARE2.4%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR28.5%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.