CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Jae'Sean Tate

Houston Rockets current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Houston Rockets · current teamFUSAOhio State

AF-PLAYER32.42025–26

NBA RANK#358of 409

PH$5.6MDepth · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN4.1governed role

NEXT GAMEvs Dallas Mavericks2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-1.0 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES337

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS7.6

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS3.8

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS1.8

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

43 games

MIN8.6

PTS2.6

REB1.6

AST0.5

STL0.2

BLK0.1

3PM0.2

FG%50.5%

3P%31.0%

FT%70.0%

+/--0.8

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Houston Rockets

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · HOMEvs Dallas Mavericks71.9% winProjected 110–116

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ San Antonio Spurs37.6% winProjected 110–115

2026-10-24 · AWAY@ Atlanta Hawks45.0% winProjected 112–114

2026-10-26 · HOMEvs Atlanta Hawks59.6% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-28 · AWAY@ Milwaukee Bucks58.9% winProjected 113–113

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED7.48pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0.8 PTS · 1.6 REB · 0.8 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G1.4 PTS · 1.4 REB · 0.6 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G1.9 PTS · 1.8 REB · 0.6 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT6 G1.17 PTS · 1.33 REB · 0.5 AST

creation↑

efficiency↑

minutes→

rebounding→

scoring↑

HOT historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 337 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS49.4%1012/2048

2-POINT57.0%830/1456

3-POINT30.7%182/592

FREE THROW70.0%347/496

EFFECTIVE FG%53.9%

TRUE SHOOTING%56.3%

AST / TO1.72

PTS PER 3613.66rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

171 HOME · 166 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	171	19.95	7.23	3.72	1.8	0.61	0.78	0.27
Away	166	19.98	7.93	3.9	1.84	0.46	0.72	0.37
Home − Away	—	-0.0	-0.7	-0.2	-0.0	+0.1	+0.1	-0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

337 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	1	3	1.82	high
minutes	11	21	29	19.97	medium
points	2	7	13	7.58	high
rebounds	1	4	6	3.81	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

337 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES103.0% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS20.6%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-10	vs MIN	8	7.85	+1.9%	2	1/2	1/2	0/0	0/0	2	2	4	0	0	1	-3.0	50%
2026-04-07	@ PHX	7	8.76	-20.1%	2	1/1	1/1	0/0	0/0	1	1	2	3	1	2	+11.0	100%
2026-04-05	@ GSW	11	7.4	+48.7%	0	0/1	0/1	0/0	0/0	2	0	2	1	0	0	-2.0	0%
2026-04-03	vs UTA	12	7.39	+62.4%	7	3/5	3/5	0/0	1/1	1	5	6	2	0	1	+5.0	64%
2026-04-01	vs MIL	3	7.38	-59.3%	0	0/1	0/1	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-4.0	0%
2026-03-31	vs NYK	11	6.39	+72.2%	2	1/4	1/3	0/1	0/0	1	0	1	0	0	2	-11.0	25%
2026-03-29	@ NOP	13	4.32	+200.7%	4	2/3	2/2	0/1	0/0	1	1	2	0	0	2	+27.0	67%
2026-03-27	@ MEM	9	2.89	+210.9%	2	1/2	1/1	0/1	0/0	0	1	1	0	1	0	+3.0	50%
2026-03-25	@ MIN	8	1.63	+390.9%	5	1/2	0/0	1/2	2/2	0	1	1	0	0	0	-5.0	87%
2026-03-23	@ CHI	3	1.22	+145.1%	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.0	—

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/43 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/43 games

5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/43 games

2+ THREES2.3%1/43 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	HOU	43	8.6	2.6	1.6	0.5	50.5%	31.0%	70.0%
2024–25	HOU	50	11.1	3.6	2.1	0.9	47.8%	32.6%	68.1%
2023–24	HOU	65	15.9	4.1	3.0	1.0	47.2%	29.9%	66.7%
2022–23	HOU	31	21.7	9.1	3.8	2.7	48.0%	28.3%	72.5%
2021–22	HOU	78	26.4	11.8	5.4	2.9	49.8%	31.2%	70.7%
2020–21	HOU	70	29.2	11.3	5.3	2.5	50.5%	30.8%	69.4%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	HOU	49	32.4	#358 / 409	5.6M	Depth
2024–25	HOU	50	40.4	#264 / 422	7.8M	Depth
2023–24	HOU	65	30.1	#381 / 409	6M	Depth
2022–23	HOU	31	40.1	#246 / 408	8.1M	Depth
2021–22	HOU	78	45.1	#177 / 423	15.4M	Core
2020–21	HOU	71	44.4	#186 / 410	15.1M	Core

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#358 OF 409

AF-PLAYER32.4descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#358of 409 ranked

PH$5.6MDepth

SAMPLE49observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+5.9 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT-25.0 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-4.0 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY44-1.0 pp next-game What If impact

DECLINING

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

HOU

Houston Rockets

EXPECTED MIN5.0

SCORING SHARE2.3%

CREATION SHARE1.7%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR56.5%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.