Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
Jaden Ivey
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYER43.12025–26
NBA RANK#205of 409
PH$9.5MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN18.0
PTS8.6
REB2.4
AST1.9
STL0.6
BLK0.4
3PM1.4
FG%45.0%
3P%37.8%
FT%80.0%
+/-+0.4
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED1.2pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G9.2 PTS · 3 REB · 1.6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G10 PTS · 2.8 REB · 1.4 AST
creation↓
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS43.1%1125/2611
2-POINT47.8%770/1611
3-POINT35.5%355/1000
FREE THROW74.9%614/820
EFFECTIVE FG%49.9%
TRUE SHOOTING%54.2%
AST / TO1.56
PTS PER 3619.14rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 101 | 29.03 | 14.98 | 3.68 | 4.45 | 1.54 | 0.83 | 0.41 |
| Away | 115 | 27.14 | 14.83 | 3.38 | 3.64 | 1.73 | 0.73 | 0.36 |
| Home − Away | — | +1.9 | +0.1 | +0.3 | +0.8 | -0.2 | +0.1 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4.02 | high |
| minutes | 21 | 29 | 34 | 28.02 | low |
| points | 10 | 15 | 19 | 14.9 | medium |
| rebounds | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3.52 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES104.6% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS62.8%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | @ BOS | 29 | 19.8 | +46.5% | 10 | 4/9 | 3/4 | 1/5 | 1/1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -14.0 | 53% |
| 2026-02-09 | @ BKN | 24 | 19.46 | +23.3% | 13 | 3/8 | 1/2 | 2/6 | 5/6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +9.0 | 61% |
| 2026-02-07 | vs DEN | 30 | 21.41 | +40.1% | 10 | 3/7 | 1/2 | 2/5 | 2/2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -27.0 | 64% |
| 2026-02-05 | @ TOR | 33 | — | — | 13 | 5/12 | 2/7 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -9.0 | 54% |
| 2026-02-01 | vs BKN | 21 | 15.57 | +34.9% | 8 | 3/9 | 1/3 | 2/6 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +8.0 | 44% |
| 2026-01-29 | @ PHX | 7 | 17.19 | -59.3% | 0 | 0/3 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.0 | 0% |
| 2026-01-27 | @ DEN | 18 | 17.14 | +5% | 8 | 3/8 | 1/2 | 2/6 | 0/0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3.0 | 50% |
| 2026-01-25 | vs SAC | 17 | 17.65 | -3.7% | 11 | 4/6 | 1/2 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -3.0 | 92% |
| 2026-01-23 | vs HOU | 14 | 19 | -26.3% | 8 | 3/7 | 1/2 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +3.0 | 57% |
| 2026-01-21 | @ NOP | 18 | — | — | 7 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 2/5 | 1/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -7.0 | 60% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/35 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/35 games
5+ ASSISTS2.9%1/35 games
2+ THREES48.6%17/35 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | DET | 35 | 43.1 | #205 / 409 | 9.5M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | DET | 30 | 46.9 | #169 / 422 | 12.1M | Rotation |
| 2023–24 | DET | 77 | 40.0 | #248 / 409 | 11.7M | Rotation |
| 2022–23 | DET | 74 | 38.6 | #275 / 408 | 10.6M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER43.1descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#205of 409 ranked
PH$9.5MDepth
SAMPLE35observed games
Ball security55
Box defence39
Creation39
Efficiency48
Rebounding26
Scoring49
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
CHI
Chicago Bulls
EXPECTED MIN11.2
SCORING SHARE10.5%
CREATION SHARE16.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR53.1%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.
DET
Detroit Pistons
EXPECTED MIN13.5
SCORING SHARE7.2%
CREATION SHARE5.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR77.6%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.