Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
Jacob Toppin
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYERPendingsample gate
NBA RANK—not ranked
PH$—pending · how PH$ worksSTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN3.4
PTS1.6
REB0.2
AST0.2
STL0.0
BLK0.2
3PM0.0
FG%66.7%
3P%—
FT%—
+/-+2.6
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED0.32pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT0 G— PTS · — REB · — AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT0 G— PTS · — REB · — AST
creation—
efficiency—
minutes—
rebounding—
scoring—
Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS48.6%18/37
2-POINT52.2%12/23
3-POINT—6/14
FREE THROW—2/2
EFFECTIVE FG%56.8%
TRUE SHOOTING%58.1%
AST / TO2.5
PTS PER 3612.18rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 18 | 4.83 | 1.61 | 0.94 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.11 | 0 |
| Away | 11 | 3.91 | 1.36 | 0.55 | 0.45 | 0.09 | 0 | 0.18 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.9 | +0.3 | +0.4 | -0.2 | +0.2 | +0.1 | -0.2 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.34 | high |
| minutes | 1.6 | 3 | 5 | 4.48 | high |
| points | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1.52 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.79 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-25 | @ WAS | 7 | 0.35 | +1911.4% | 2 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +7.0 | 50% |
| 2025-11-22 | @ NOP | 1 | — | — | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | — |
| 2025-11-08 | vs LAL | 3 | 0.54 | +452.1% | 4 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 | 100% |
| 2025-10-31 | @ IND | 1 | 1.9 | -47.5% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| 2025-10-25 | vs OKC | 5 | — | — | 2 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.0 | 50% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/5 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/5 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/5 games
2+ THREES0.0%0/5 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
ProbHoops has observed 5 games of this player in 2025–26 — below the sample floor required to rank. He carries no AF-Player and no PH$. Pending means not enough observation, never a low score.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
ATL
Atlanta Hawks
EXPECTED MIN1.1
SCORING SHARE1.5%
CREATION SHARE0.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR33.5%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.