Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
J. Watkins
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYER38.02025–26
NBA RANK#287of 409
PH$7.5MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN20.2
PTS6.7
REB3.8
AST1.2
STL1.0
BLK0.6
3PM0.9
FG%44.3%
3P%29.8%
FT%66.0%
+/--3.3
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED21.03pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G8.2 PTS · 2.6 REB · 1.6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G3.2 PTS · 1.6 REB · 0.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT9 G7.44 PTS · 3.33 REB · 1 AST
creation↑
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS44.3%93/210
2-POINT61.5%59/96
3-POINT29.8%34/114
FREE THROW66.0%35/53
EFFECTIVE FG%52.4%
TRUE SHOOTING%54.6%
AST / TO1.92
PTS PER 3611.95rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 22 | 18.64 | 5.68 | 4.32 | 1.18 | 0.82 | 0.77 | 0.73 |
| Away | 16 | 22.38 | 8.12 | 3.19 | 1.25 | 1 | 1.38 | 0.38 |
| Home − Away | — | -3.7 | -2.4 | +1.1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.6 | +0.3 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.21 | high |
| minutes | 15.4 | 19.5 | 27 | 20.21 | medium |
| points | 2 | 6 | 12.6 | 6.71 | high |
| rebounds | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3.84 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | @ MIA | 19 | 20.78 | -8.6% | 14 | 5/8 | 3/4 | 2/4 | 2/2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | +13.0 | 79% |
| 2026-04-01 | vs PHI | 19 | 21.74 | -12.6% | 7 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 | 72% |
| 2026-03-30 | @ LAL | 27 | 19.76 | +36.7% | 8 | 4/11 | 4/7 | 0/4 | 0/0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -14.0 | 36% |
| 2026-03-27 | @ GSW | 6 | 22.78 | -73.7% | 3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 | 150% |
| 2026-03-22 | @ NYK | 31 | 19.98 | +55.2% | 5 | 2/10 | 1/3 | 1/7 | 0/0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -20.0 | 25% |
| 2026-03-21 | vs OKC | 26 | 16.76 | +55.2% | 13 | 4/9 | 2/4 | 2/5 | 3/4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5.0 | 60% |
| 2026-03-19 | vs DET | 27 | 15.99 | +68.8% | 9 | 3/6 | 2/4 | 1/2 | 2/3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -14.0 | 62% |
| 2026-03-17 | vs DET | 18 | 14.43 | +24.8% | 3 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1.0 | 75% |
| 2026-03-14 | @ BOS | 24 | 14.55 | +65% | 15 | 6/11 | 4/5 | 2/6 | 1/4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +12.0 | 59% |
| 2026-03-12 | @ ORL | 16 | 13.16 | +21.6% | 7 | 2/5 | 1/1 | 1/4 | 2/3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1.0 | 55% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/38 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/38 games
5+ ASSISTS2.6%1/38 games
2+ THREES23.7%9/38 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | WAS | 38 | 20.2 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 44.3% | 29.8% | 66.0% |
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER38.0descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#287of 409 ranked
PH$7.5MDepth
SAMPLE40observed games
Ball security57
Box defence59
Creation28
Efficiency39
Rebounding40
Scoring24
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
WAS
Washington Wizards
EXPECTED MIN11.5
SCORING SHARE4.7%
CREATION SHARE3.1%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR54.6%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.