Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
J. Richardson
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYER41.32025–26
NBA RANK#225of 409
PH$8.7MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN11.0
PTS4.4
REB1.2
AST1.1
STL0.3
BLK0.0
3PM0.5
FG%47.2%
3P%36.4%
FT%71.7%
+/--0.1
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED4.65pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0.6 PTS · 0.2 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G4 PTS · 1.2 REB · 1 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G1.2 PTS · 0.8 REB · 0.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G4.1 PTS · 1.5 REB · 1.2 AST
creation↓
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring↑
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS47.2%85/180
2-POINT55.3%57/103
3-POINT36.4%28/77
FREE THROW71.7%33/46
EFFECTIVE FG%55.0%
TRUE SHOOTING%57.7%
AST / TO2.33
PTS PER 3614.59rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 23 | 12.13 | 4.61 | 1.3 | 1.04 | 0.52 | 0.22 | 0.04 |
| Away | 29 | 10.03 | 4.31 | 1.14 | 1.1 | 0.55 | 0.34 | 0.03 |
| Home − Away | — | +2.1 | +0.3 | +0.2 | -0.1 | -0.0 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.08 | high |
| minutes | 4.2 | 8 | 19 | 10.96 | high |
| points | 0 | 3 | 8.8 | 4.44 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 1 | 2.8 | 1.21 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIN | 4 | 6.48 | -38.3% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.0 | 0% |
| 2026-04-06 | vs DET | 6 | 6.22 | -3.5% | 3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.0 | 80% |
| 2026-04-03 | @ DAL | 2 | 6.33 | -68.4% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | 0% |
| 2026-04-01 | vs ATL | 8 | 7.48 | +7% | 4 | 1/3 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -8.0 | 42% |
| 2026-03-29 | @ TOR | 18 | 5.41 | +232.6% | 0 | 0/3 | 0/1 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -22.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-26 | vs SAC | 5 | 4.67 | +7.1% | 5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.0 | 133% |
| 2026-03-23 | vs IND | 19 | 2.1 | +803.2% | 9 | 4/5 | 3/3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.0 | 90% |
| 2026-03-19 | @ CHA | 7 | 1.06 | +561.6% | 2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.0 | 100% |
| 2026-03-16 | @ ATL | 5 | 0.65 | +665.1% | 6 | 2/4 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8.0 | 68% |
| 2026-03-01 | vs DET | 3 | 5.85 | -48.7% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS1.9%1/52 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/52 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/52 games
2+ THREES9.6%5/52 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | ORL | 52 | 11.0 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 47.2% | 36.4% | 71.7% |
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER41.3descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#225of 409 ranked
PH$8.7MDepth
SAMPLE54observed games
Ball security64
Box defence17
Creation46
Efficiency53
Rebounding20
Scoring36
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
ORL
Orlando Magic
EXPECTED MIN6.7
SCORING SHARE3.3%
CREATION SHARE3.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR61.4%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.