Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
GG Jackson
Memphis Grizzlies current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER46.92025–26
NBA RANK#145of 409
PH$12MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN36.0governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Utah Jazz2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-1.2 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN19.4
PTS10.9
REB3.8
AST1.0
STL0.6
BLK0.7
3PM1.0
FG%50.5%
3P%29.9%
FT%73.8%
+/--2.2
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Memphis Grizzlies
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED22.91pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G18.6 PTS · 8.4 REB · 1 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G1.4 PTS · 0.4 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G14 PTS · 6.4 REB · 1.3 AST
creation↓
efficiency↑
minutes↑
rebounding↑
scoring↑
HOT historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS43.9%456/1040
2-POINT52.8%288/545
3-POINT33.9%168/495
FREE THROW74.5%202/271
EFFECTIVE FG%51.9%
TRUE SHOOTING%55.3%
AST / TO0.88
PTS PER 3619.51rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 63 | 20.94 | 11.38 | 3.67 | 1.05 | 1.52 | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| Away | 48 | 21.79 | 11.77 | 3.94 | 1.19 | 1.5 | 0.56 | 0.38 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.8 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.1 | +0.0 | -0.0 | +0.2 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.11 | high |
| minutes | 11 | 23 | 30 | 21.31 | medium |
| points | 4 | 11 | 18 | 11.55 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3.78 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES32.7% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs HOU | 30 | 21.47 | +39.7% | 14 | 5/14 | 3/7 | 2/7 | 2/2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 47% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs SAS | 30 | 19.89 | +50.8% | 20 | 7/15 | 4/8 | 3/7 | 3/4 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -18.0 | 60% |
| 2026-03-23 | @ ATL | 30 | 19.14 | +56.7% | 26 | 9/14 | 7/9 | 2/5 | 6/6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -8.0 | 78% |
| 2026-03-21 | @ CHA | 24 | 18.52 | +29.6% | 19 | 7/14 | 7/9 | 0/5 | 5/6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -14.0 | 57% |
| 2026-03-18 | vs DEN | 26 | 21.51 | +20.9% | 16 | 6/15 | 5/11 | 1/4 | 3/6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +9.0 | 45% |
| 2026-03-03 | @ MIN | 23 | 21.54 | +6.8% | 12 | 4/5 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 3/4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -3.0 | 89% |
| 2026-02-25 | vs GSW | 26 | 21.72 | +19.7% | 24 | 8/12 | 5/6 | 3/6 | 5/6 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -8.0 | 82% |
| 2026-02-21 | @ MIA | 26 | 21.72 | +19.7% | 28 | 11/17 | 10/12 | 1/5 | 5/8 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -9.0 | 68% |
| 2026-02-02 | vs MIN | 21 | — | — | 13 | 6/10 | 5/6 | 1/4 | 0/1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +14.0 | 62% |
| 2026-01-31 | vs MIN | 28 | — | — | 19 | 8/11 | 7/8 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6.0 | 80% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS11.4%4/35 games
10+ REBOUNDS2.9%1/35 games
5+ ASSISTS5.7%2/35 games
2+ THREES31.4%11/35 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | MEM | 35 | 46.9 | #145 / 409 | 12M | Rotation |
| 2024–25 | MEM | 29 | 32.3 | #374 / 422 | 5.6M | Depth |
| 2023–24 | MEM | 48 | 41.5 | #228 / 409 | 10.5M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER46.9descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#145of 409 ranked
PH$12MRotation
SAMPLE35observed games
Ball security58
Box defence48
Creation16
Efficiency57
Rebounding38
Scoring62
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-16.4 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+53.3 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+16.6 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY77-1.2 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
MEM
Memphis Grizzlies
EXPECTED MIN11.0
SCORING SHARE5.6%
CREATION SHARE2.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR57.6%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.