Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Collin Gillespie
Phoenix Suns current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER49.32025–26
NBA RANK#118of 409
PH$19.6MCore · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN28.9governed role
NEXT GAME@ Portland Trail Blazers2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT+0.4 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN28.4
PTS13.0
REB4.0
AST4.6
STL1.3
BLK0.2
3PM3.0
FG%42.8%
3P%41.5%
FT%87.1%
+/-+1.9
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Phoenix Suns
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED23.18pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G1 PTS · 1.2 REB · 0.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G14 PTS · 2.8 REB · 3.8 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G3.3 PTS · 1.4 REB · 1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G12.1 PTS · 4 REB · 4.1 AST
creation↓
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS43.1%438/1016
2-POINT46.0%159/346
3-POINT41.6%279/670
FREE THROW84.9%101/119
EFFECTIVE FG%56.8%
TRUE SHOOTING%58.8%
AST / TO3.05
PTS PER 3616.03rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 69 | 21.07 | 8.65 | 2.88 | 3.03 | 1.9 | 0.97 | 0.14 |
| Away | 62 | 22.03 | 10.63 | 3.26 | 3.87 | 2.39 | 1.02 | 0.15 |
| Home − Away | — | -1.0 | -2.0 | -0.4 | -0.8 | -0.5 | -0.1 | -0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3.43 | high |
| minutes | 11 | 24 | 31 | 21.53 | medium |
| points | 3 | 9 | 16 | 9.59 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3.06 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES32.3% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS32.3%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | @ LAL | 16 | 24.39 | -34.4% | 5 | 2/6 | 1/2 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.0 | 42% |
| 2026-04-07 | vs HOU | 17 | 26.89 | -36.8% | 0 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -16.0 | 0% |
| 2026-04-02 | @ CHA | 24 | 28.82 | -16.7% | 6 | 2/7 | 0/0 | 2/7 | 0/0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -7.0 | 43% |
| 2026-03-31 | @ ORL | 27 | 30.13 | -10.4% | 11 | 4/8 | 2/2 | 2/6 | 1/1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +5.0 | 65% |
| 2026-03-24 | vs DEN | 27 | 29 | -6.9% | 11 | 4/11 | 2/4 | 2/7 | 1/1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | 48% |
| 2026-03-22 | vs TOR | 22 | 30.2 | -27.2% | 16 | 6/9 | 2/3 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +6.0 | 89% |
| 2026-03-21 | vs MIL | 33 | 29.89 | +10.4% | 18 | 6/13 | 2/2 | 4/11 | 2/2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1.0 | 65% |
| 2026-03-19 | @ SAS | 34 | 29.83 | +14% | 24 | 7/13 | 1/2 | 6/11 | 4/4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +3.0 | 81% |
| 2026-03-17 | @ MIN | 37 | 29.06 | +27.3% | 12 | 4/13 | 1/4 | 3/9 | 1/1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10.0 | 45% |
| 2026-03-16 | @ BOS | 23 | 29.7 | -22.6% | 3 | 1/8 | 0/3 | 1/5 | 0/0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 | 19% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS13.3%10/75 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/75 games
5+ ASSISTS48.0%36/75 games
2+ THREES80.0%60/75 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | PHX | 81 | 49.3 | #118 / 409 | 19.6M | Core |
| 2024–25 | PHX | 33 | 52.2 | #90 / 422 | 14M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER49.3descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#118of 409 ranked
PH$19.6MCore
SAMPLE81observed games
Ball security65
Box defence38
Creation72
Efficiency51
Rebounding25
Scoring42
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+8.4 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-7.5 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGESTABLE+0.7 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY51+0.4 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
PHX
Phoenix Suns
EXPECTED MIN27.3
SCORING SHARE11.4%
CREATION SHARE18.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR86.4%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.