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PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL

CJ Elleby

Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.

Portland Trail Blazers · last observed teamUSAWashington State
AF-PLAYER27.42021–22
NBA RANK#403of 423
PH$6.1MDepth · fictional game currency
STATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual
REGULAR-SEASON GAMES88

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS4.6

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS2.9

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS1.1

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2021–22

58 games
MIN20.3
PTS5.8
REB3.9
AST1.5
STL0.6
BLK0.3
3PM0.6
FG%39.3%
3P%29.4%
FT%71.4%
+/--6.0

NEXT GAME

Current context

No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2021–22

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL28.07minutes
EXPECTED28.23pregame reference
DEVIATION-0.6%role consistent

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G9.4 PTS · 4.2 REB · 1.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G8.6 PTS · 3.4 REB · 2 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G8.7 PTS · 5.4 REB · 2.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G8.6 PTS · 4.5 REB · 1.9 AST

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 88 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS39.0%146/374
2-POINT47.7%102/214
3-POINT27.5%44/160
FREE THROW71.7%71/99
EFFECTIVE FG%44.9%
TRUE SHOOTING%48.7%
AST / TO1.59
PTS PER 3610.72rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

43 HOME · 45 AWAY
SplitGMINPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLK
Home4315.374.742.951.020.560.490.26
Away4515.684.512.931.180.440.440.24
Home − Away—-0.3+0.2+0.0-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

88 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

CategoryFloorMedianCeilingMeanVolatility
assists0021.1high
minutes4.311.527.115.53high
points0484.62high
rebounds0252.94high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

88 GAMES
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2021–22

One log, the window you choose

10 games
DateOppMINEXP MINMIN ΔPTSFG2P3PFTORDRREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-TS%
2022-04-10vs UTA28.128.23-0.6%125/63/32/30/021312015-16.0100%
2022-04-08@ DAL36.427.1+34.2%42/112/70/40/016752140-34.018%
2022-04-07@ NOP30.627.02+13.4%177/115/62/51/202200013-17.072%
2022-04-05@ OKC27.327.30%61/10/01/13/414520101+12.0109%
2022-04-03@ SAS26.127.19-4.2%83/61/22/40/204410103-9.058%
2022-04-01@ SAS22.127.15-18.7%00/80/40/40/003361000-30.00%
2022-03-30vs NOP30.727.59+11.3%91/90/31/66/725730012-1.037%
2022-03-28vs OKC37.825.45+48.6%93/112/81/32/2741150112-2.038%
2022-03-26vs HOU31.724.5+29.3%83/101/42/60/005522112-13.040%
2022-03-25vs HOU28.423.54+20.6%146/105/81/21/334730023-29.062%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2021–22

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/58 games
10+ REBOUNDS3.5%2/58 games
5+ ASSISTS10.3%6/58 games
2+ THREES13.8%8/58 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games
SeasonTeam(s)GMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
2021–22POR5820.35.83.91.539.3%29.4%71.4%
2020–21POR306.42.31.10.337.9%20.6%73.3%

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

No current roster binding for this historical profile

governed identity

This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2021–22

#403 OF 423
AF-PLAYER27.4descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#403of 423 ranked
PH$6.1MDepth
SAMPLE78observed games
Ball security
42
Box defence
33
Creation
29
Efficiency
21
Rebounding
42
Scoring
16

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2021–22

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

POR

Portland Trail Blazers

EXPECTED MIN12.9
SCORING SHARE4.2%
CREATION SHARE4.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR64.1%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.