Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Cameron Johnson
Denver Nuggets current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER45.02025–26
NBA RANK#177of 409
PH$14.4MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN39.0governed role
NEXT GAME@ Oklahoma City Thunder2026-10-22WHAT IF IMPACT-0.1 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN30.6
PTS12.0
REB3.8
AST2.4
STL0.7
BLK0.4
3PM2.0
FG%46.8%
3P%42.0%
FT%83.6%
+/-+6.1
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Denver Nuggets
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED30.75pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G6.8 PTS · 2.6 REB · 1.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G13.4 PTS · 4 REB · 2.4 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G6.6 PTS · 2.1 REB · 1.3 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G10.9 PTS · 3.6 REB · 2.8 AST
creation→
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring↑
HOT historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS45.5%1699/3732
2-POINT54.3%817/1504
3-POINT39.6%882/2228
FREE THROW84.7%660/779
EFFECTIVE FG%57.3%
TRUE SHOOTING%60.6%
AST / TO2.17
PTS PER 3617.03rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 204 | 26.97 | 13.37 | 4.11 | 2.03 | 2.38 | 0.82 | 0.35 |
| Away | 182 | 27.14 | 12.16 | 3.72 | 1.95 | 2.18 | 0.8 | 0.29 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.2 | +1.2 | +0.4 | +0.1 | +0.2 | +0.0 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1.99 | high |
| minutes | 21.3 | 27 | 33.7 | 27.05 | low |
| points | 7 | 12 | 18 | 12.8 | high |
| rebounds | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3.92 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES71.8% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | vs POR | 37 | 29.82 | +24.1% | 17 | 6/9 | 5/6 | 1/3 | 4/5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +25.0 | 76% |
| 2026-04-04 | vs SAS | 39 | 27.82 | +40.2% | 17 | 6/11 | 2/3 | 4/8 | 1/1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7.0 | 74% |
| 2026-03-29 | vs GSW | 19 | 29.91 | -36.5% | 6 | 2/5 | 0/1 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +13.0 | 60% |
| 2026-03-27 | vs UTA | 26 | 29.79 | -12.7% | 12 | 4/11 | 0/0 | 4/11 | 0/0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3.0 | 55% |
| 2026-03-24 | @ PHX | 33 | 28.31 | +16.6% | 14 | 4/9 | 2/2 | 2/7 | 4/4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -12.0 | 65% |
| 2026-03-20 | vs TOR | 31 | 27.24 | +13.8% | 6 | 2/7 | 2/3 | 0/4 | 2/3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +7.0 | 36% |
| 2026-03-18 | @ MEM | 33 | 26.16 | +26.1% | 20 | 7/13 | 2/7 | 5/6 | 1/2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6.0 | 72% |
| 2026-03-17 | vs PHI | 23 | 26.42 | -13% | 18 | 6/8 | 3/5 | 3/3 | 3/4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +22.0 | 92% |
| 2026-03-14 | @ LAL | 43 | 21.28 | +102% | 18 | 6/13 | 2/3 | 4/10 | 2/2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +15.0 | 65% |
| 2026-03-12 | @ SAS | 31 | 17.18 | +80.5% | 15 | 6/8 | 5/6 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +8.0 | 85% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS8.2%4/49 games
10+ REBOUNDS2.0%1/49 games
5+ ASSISTS6.1%3/49 games
2+ THREES53.1%26/49 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | DEN | 49 | 30.6 | 12.0 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 46.8% | 42.0% | 83.6% |
| 2024–25 | BKN | 55 | 31.8 | 18.8 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 47.4% | 39.0% | 89.3% |
| 2023–24 | BKN | 57 | 27.7 | 13.5 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 44.9% | 39.8% | 78.1% |
| 2022–23 | PHXBKN | 42 | 28.5 | 15.5 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 47.0% | 40.4% | 84.2% |
| 2021–22 | PHX | 66 | 26.2 | 12.4 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 46.0% | 42.5% | 86.0% |
| 2020–21 | PHX | 60 | 23.9 | 9.6 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 42.0% | 34.9% | 84.8% |
| 2019–20 | PHX | 57 | 22.0 | 8.8 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 43.5% | 39.0% | 80.7% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | DEN | 55 | 45.0 | #177 / 409 | 14.4M | Rotation |
| 2024–25 | BKN | 55 | 55.0 | #64 / 422 | 20.8M | Core |
| 2023–24 | BKN | 57 | 46.4 | #156 / 409 | 14.3M | Rotation |
| 2022–23 | BKN | 46 | 51.1 | #87 / 408 | 17.2M | Core |
| 2021–22 | PHX | 79 | 49.1 | #115 / 423 | 18.9M | Core |
| 2020–21 | PHX | 81 | 41.1 | #243 / 410 | 11.8M | Rotation |
| 2019–20 | PHX | 59 | 43.5 | #172 / 385 | 12.4M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER45.0descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#177of 409 ranked
PH$14.4MRotation
SAMPLE55observed games
Ball security78
Box defence23
Creation41
Efficiency65
Rebounding18
Scoring32
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-28.9 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-28.2 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+8.4 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY28-0.1 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
DEN
Denver Nuggets
EXPECTED MIN24.1
SCORING SHARE9.3%
CREATION SHARE8.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR72.5%
-2.55 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 30 normal-load / 4 nonparticipation games.