Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Brice Sensabaugh
Utah Jazz current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER43.22025–26
NBA RANK#204of 409
PH$12.2MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN34.5governed role
NEXT GAME@ Memphis Grizzlies2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-1.9 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN23.1
PTS13.5
REB3.1
AST1.7
STL0.7
BLK0.1
3PM1.9
FG%44.9%
3P%34.9%
FT%84.3%
+/--4.3
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Utah Jazz
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED31.05pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G10.8 PTS · 1.4 REB · 2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G13.6 PTS · 3.8 REB · 2.6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G6.7 PTS · 1.1 REB · 1.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G11.1 PTS · 3.3 REB · 1.7 AST
creation↑
efficiency↓
minutes↓
rebounding↑
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS44.3%637/1439
2-POINT53.5%330/617
3-POINT37.4%307/822
FREE THROW86.5%236/273
EFFECTIVE FG%54.9%
TRUE SHOOTING%58.3%
AST / TO1.12
PTS PER 3619.21rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 86 | 19.99 | 10.76 | 2.93 | 1.47 | 1.94 | 0.51 | 0.09 |
| Away | 77 | 21.9 | 11.58 | 3.21 | 1.86 | 1.82 | 0.78 | 0.19 |
| Home − Away | — | -1.9 | -0.8 | -0.3 | -0.4 | +0.1 | -0.3 | -0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1.65 | high |
| minutes | 13.4 | 22 | 27.6 | 20.89 | medium |
| points | 4 | 10 | 17.6 | 11.15 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3.06 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES10.6% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | @ OKC | 43 | 24.32 | +76.8% | 34 | 11/19 | 5/9 | 6/10 | 6/6 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -26.0 | 79% |
| 2026-04-03 | @ HOU | 33 | 24.32 | +35.7% | 20 | 7/16 | 5/10 | 2/6 | 4/5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -22.0 | 55% |
| 2026-03-27 | @ DEN | 25 | 24.32 | +2.8% | 13 | 4/8 | 1/2 | 3/6 | 2/2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +6.0 | 73% |
| 2026-03-09 | vs GSW | 29 | 22.64 | +28.1% | 21 | 7/13 | 5/8 | 2/5 | 5/6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +4.0 | 67% |
| 2026-03-07 | @ MIL | 19 | 23.76 | -20% | 17 | 6/12 | 3/6 | 3/6 | 2/2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +7.0 | 66% |
| 2026-03-04 | @ PHI | 20 | 26.94 | -25.8% | 7 | 3/12 | 3/6 | 0/6 | 1/1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2.0 | 28% |
| 2026-03-02 | vs DEN | 23 | 26.84 | -14.3% | 8 | 2/10 | 0/3 | 2/7 | 2/2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +1.0 | 37% |
| 2026-02-28 | vs NOP | 26 | 26.26 | -1% | 10 | 4/16 | 2/8 | 2/8 | 0/1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.0 | 30% |
| 2026-02-26 | vs NOP | 25 | 26.16 | -4.4% | 20 | 7/13 | 4/5 | 3/8 | 3/5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.0 | 66% |
| 2026-02-23 | @ HOU | 32 | 23.18 | +38% | 26 | 10/15 | 6/7 | 4/8 | 2/3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2.0 | 80% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS26.2%16/61 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/61 games
5+ ASSISTS4.9%3/61 games
2+ THREES57.4%35/61 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | UTA | 62 | 43.2 | #204 / 409 | 12.2M | Rotation |
| 2024–25 | UTA | 70 | 44.0 | #205 / 422 | 11.9M | Rotation |
| 2023–24 | UTA | 32 | 31.6 | #365 / 409 | 5.8M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER43.2descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#204of 409 ranked
PH$12.2MRotation
SAMPLE62observed games
Ball security65
Box defence25
Creation22
Efficiency50
Rebounding22
Scoring67
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-26.7 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-1.3 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+11.8 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY70-1.9 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
UTA
Utah Jazz
EXPECTED MIN20.1
SCORING SHARE11.0%
CREATION SHARE4.9%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR82.0%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.