Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Bilal Coulibaly
Washington Wizards current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER39.52025–26
NBA RANK#261of 409
PH$9.2MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN18.2governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Milwaukee Bucks2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-0.5 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN26.5
PTS11.1
REB4.4
AST2.6
STL1.4
BLK1.0
3PM1.1
FG%41.6%
3P%30.6%
FT%75.3%
+/--8.2
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Washington Wizards
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED20.44pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G14.2 PTS · 4 REB · 1.8 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G4.5 PTS · 1.1 REB · 0.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G13.1 PTS · 3.7 REB · 1.9 AST
creation→
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring↑
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS42.4%621/1466
2-POINT49.6%445/897
3-POINT30.9%176/569
FREE THROW73.6%338/459
EFFECTIVE FG%48.4%
TRUE SHOOTING%52.6%
AST / TO1.55
PTS PER 3613.03rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 82 | 28.84 | 10.27 | 4.28 | 2.45 | 0.94 | 1.15 | 0.77 |
| Away | 84 | 29.58 | 10.88 | 4.71 | 2.68 | 1.18 | 1.23 | 0.87 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.7 | -0.6 | -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2.57 | high |
| minutes | 25 | 30 | 35 | 29.22 | low |
| points | 5 | 10 | 15 | 10.58 | high |
| rebounds | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4.5 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES42.4% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.6% of games
10+ ASSISTS10.6%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | @ MIA | 25 | 20.19 | +23.8% | 12 | 5/13 | 5/11 | 0/2 | 2/4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -20.0 | 41% |
| 2026-04-01 | vs PHI | 19 | 17.9 | +6.2% | 12 | 5/10 | 5/8 | 0/2 | 2/2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -32.0 | 55% |
| 2026-03-27 | @ GSW | 19 | 19.38 | -2% | 21 | 8/16 | 4/7 | 4/9 | 1/2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 | 62% |
| 2026-03-22 | @ NYK | 29 | 19.55 | +48.4% | 13 | 5/12 | 4/9 | 1/3 | 2/3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -21.0 | 49% |
| 2026-03-21 | vs OKC | 34 | 19.11 | +77.9% | 21 | 8/15 | 5/10 | 3/5 | 2/2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +4.0 | 66% |
| 2026-03-14 | @ BOS | 24 | 24.43 | -1.8% | 12 | 4/10 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -15.0 | 55% |
| 2026-03-12 | @ ORL | 37 | 23.83 | +55.3% | 29 | 9/21 | 4/10 | 5/11 | 6/6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -11.0 | 61% |
| 2026-03-10 | @ MIA | 35 | 21.08 | +66% | 10 | 2/7 | 2/6 | 0/1 | 6/8 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -19.0 | 48% |
| 2026-02-28 | vs TOR | 23 | 20.81 | +10.5% | 14 | 6/10 | 4/7 | 2/3 | 0/2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.0 | 64% |
| 2026-02-26 | @ ATL | 22 | 19.72 | +11.6% | 10 | 4/10 | 4/8 | 0/2 | 2/2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.0 | 46% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS8.9%4/45 games
10+ REBOUNDS2.2%1/45 games
5+ ASSISTS6.7%3/45 games
2+ THREES31.1%14/45 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | WAS | 45 | 39.5 | #261 / 409 | 9.2M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | WAS | 58 | 32.8 | #369 / 422 | 7.7M | Depth |
| 2023–24 | WAS | 63 | 31.1 | #370 / 409 | 6.9M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER39.5descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#261of 409 ranked
PH$9.2MDepth
SAMPLE45observed games
Ball security57
Box defence67
Creation38
Efficiency31
Rebounding30
Scoring41
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+3.5 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+23.7 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-8.3 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY40-0.5 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
WAS
Washington Wizards
EXPECTED MIN18.6
SCORING SHARE9.5%
CREATION SHARE11.1%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR66.2%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.