Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Ben Sheppard
Indiana Pacers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER29.62025–26
NBA RANK#380of 409
PH$5.9MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN18.7governed role
NEXT GAME@ New Orleans Pelicans2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN21.4
PTS6.1
REB3.0
AST1.6
STL0.5
BLK0.1
3PM1.1
FG%38.7%
3P%32.7%
FT%76.5%
+/--3.8
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Indiana Pacers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED19.25pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G6.8 PTS · 2.6 REB · 0.8 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G2 PTS · 0.7 REB · 0.3 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G6.2 PTS · 2.5 REB · 0.9 AST
creation↓
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring↑
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS40.1%307/766
2-POINT54.5%140/257
3-POINT32.8%167/509
FREE THROW83.9%73/87
EFFECTIVE FG%51.0%
TRUE SHOOTING%53.1%
AST / TO3.36
PTS PER 3610.35rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 86 | 18.14 | 5.4 | 2.38 | 1.33 | 1.08 | 0.52 | 0.13 |
| Away | 76 | 18.55 | 5.13 | 2.43 | 1.2 | 0.97 | 0.64 | 0.12 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.4 | +0.3 | -0.1 | +0.1 | +0.1 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.27 | high |
| minutes | 13 | 19 | 23.8 | 18.33 | medium |
| points | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5.27 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2.41 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | vs MIA | 23 | 18.87 | +21.9% | 5 | 2/4 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +22.0 | 63% |
| 2026-03-27 | vs LAC | 19 | 18.35 | +3.6% | 2 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -13.0 | 33% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs LAL | 18 | 19.11 | -5.8% | 13 | 4/6 | 0/1 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +5.0 | 101% |
| 2026-03-23 | @ ORL | 18 | 18.89 | -4.7% | 5 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 63% |
| 2026-03-21 | @ SAS | 21 | 17.02 | +23.4% | 9 | 3/4 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 2/3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 | 85% |
| 2026-03-18 | vs POR | 19 | 16.85 | +12.8% | 10 | 4/8 | 2/5 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1.0 | 63% |
| 2026-03-13 | vs NYK | 21 | 17.62 | +19.2% | 5 | 2/8 | 1/3 | 1/5 | 0/0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 31% |
| 2026-03-08 | @ POR | 17 | 16.15 | +5.3% | 3 | 1/3 | 0/1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -15.0 | 50% |
| 2026-03-06 | @ LAL | 26 | 13.94 | +86.5% | 5 | 2/6 | 1/1 | 1/5 | 0/1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -8.0 | 39% |
| 2026-03-04 | @ LAC | 20 | 12.81 | +56.2% | 4 | 2/8 | 2/4 | 0/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -16.0 | 25% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/46 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/46 games
5+ ASSISTS4.3%2/46 games
2+ THREES32.6%15/46 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | IND | 46 | 29.6 | #380 / 409 | 5.9M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | IND | 81 | 32.8 | #368 / 422 | 6.9M | Depth |
| 2023–24 | IND | 75 | 30.1 | #380 / 409 | 6.2M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER29.6descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#380of 409 ranked
PH$5.9MDepth
SAMPLE46observed games
Ball security77
Box defence19
Creation47
Efficiency21
Rebounding25
Scoring16
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-27.7 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-5.7 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGESTABLE-2.7 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
IND
Indiana Pacers
EXPECTED MIN18.5
SCORING SHARE5.6%
CREATION SHARE7.9%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR77.3%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.