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PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL

Aron Baynes

Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.

Toronto Raptors · last observed teamAustraliaWashington State
AF-PLAYER30.52020–21
NBA RANK#364of 410
PH$6.2MDepth · fictional game currency
STATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual
REGULAR-SEASON GAMES95

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS8.5

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS5.4

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS1.2

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2020–21

53 games
MIN18.5
PTS6.1
REB5.2
AST0.9
STL0.3
BLK0.4
3PM0.5
FG%44.1%
3P%26.2%
FT%70.7%
+/--1.5

NEXT GAME

Current context

No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2020–21

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL26minutes
EXPECTED7.39pregame reference
DEVIATION+251.7%expanded minutes

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G6.6 PTS · 3.8 REB · 0.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G5.8 PTS · 4.8 REB · 0.6 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G3.3 PTS · 1.9 REB · 0.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G6.6 PTS · 5.2 REB · 0.7 AST

HOT historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 95 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS46.3%317/685
2-POINT55.8%231/414
3-POINT31.7%86/271
FREE THROW73.3%85/116
EFFECTIVE FG%52.5%
TRUE SHOOTING%54.7%
AST / TO1.19
PTS PER 3615.14rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

52 HOME · 43 AWAY
SplitGMINPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLK
Home5220.559.525.851.041.080.250.6
Away4319.687.214.791.40.70.350.33
Home − Away—+0.9+2.3+1.1-0.4+0.4-0.1+0.3

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

95 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

CategoryFloorMedianCeilingMeanVolatility
assists0121.2high
minutes13.620.527.920.15medium
points38138.47high
rebounds2.857.25.37high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

95 GAMES
DOUBLE-DOUBLES55.3% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2020–21

One log, the window you choose

10 games
DateOppMINEXP MINMIN ΔPTSFG2P3PFTORDRREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-TS%
2021-05-16vs IND267.39+251.7%145/112/63/51/2281000112-5.059%
2021-05-14@ DAL21.34.1+419.4%135/63/32/31/106611111+12.0101%
2021-05-13@ CHI20.6——63/63/40/20/121331013-3.047%
2021-04-10@ CLE12.417.05-27.2%21/31/30/00/003301011+2.033%
2021-04-08vs CHI17.615.73+11.9%63/63/40/20/022401004-22.050%
2021-04-06vs LAL12.115.75-23.4%94/53/41/10/033600013-9.090%
2021-04-05vs WAS20.515.17+35.2%104/93/51/41/135810032+20.053%
2021-04-02vs GSW24.211.97+102.4%52/32/20/11/216711223+21.064%
2021-03-31@ OKC21.39.44+125.7%00/30/20/10/020210003+6.00%
2021-03-29@ DET8.710.52-17%41/21/20/02/201110000+7.069%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2020–21

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/53 games
10+ REBOUNDS7.5%4/53 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/53 games
2+ THREES7.5%4/53 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games
SeasonTeam(s)GMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
2020–21TOR5318.56.15.20.944.1%26.2%70.7%
2019–20PHX4222.311.45.61.648.0%35.1%74.7%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

SeasonTeamGAF-PlayerRankPH$Band
2020–21TOR6930.5#364 / 4106.2MDepth
2019–20PHX4847.4#118 / 38514.1MRotation

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

No current roster binding for this historical profile

governed identity

This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2020–21

#364 OF 410
AF-PLAYER30.5descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#364of 410 ranked
PH$6.2MDepth
SAMPLE69observed games
Ball security
43
Box defence
29
Creation
15
Efficiency
22
Rebounding
72
Scoring
25

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2020–21

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

TOR

Toronto Raptors

EXPECTED MIN15.3
SCORING SHARE5.3%
CREATION SHARE3.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR76.0%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.