Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Amen Thompson
Houston Rockets current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER52.32025–26
NBA RANK#84of 409
PH$23.2MCore · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN29.0governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Dallas Mavericks2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-1.4 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN37.5
PTS18.2
REB7.7
AST5.3
STL1.5
BLK0.6
3PM0.3
FG%53.0%
3P%21.1%
FT%77.4%
+/-+4.6
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Houston Rockets
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED39.37pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G20 PTS · 5.6 REB · 5.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G24.2 PTS · 7.2 REB · 6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G18.8 PTS · 6.5 REB · 5.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G19.9 PTS · 7.4 REB · 6.2 AST
creation↑
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring↑
HOT historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS54.0%1168/2163
2-POINT58.5%1111/1900
3-POINT21.7%57/263
FREE THROW72.8%570/783
EFFECTIVE FG%55.3%
TRUE SHOOTING%59.1%
AST / TO2.03
PTS PER 3616.41rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 102 | 30.87 | 13.71 | 7.33 | 3.92 | 0.27 | 1.25 | 0.73 |
| Away | 106 | 31.6 | 14.76 | 7.74 | 4.12 | 0.27 | 1.55 | 0.94 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.7 | -1.1 | -0.4 | -0.2 | 0.0 | -0.3 | -0.2 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4.02 | high |
| minutes | 23 | 34 | 40 | 31.25 | low |
| points | 8 | 14 | 20 | 14.25 | high |
| rebounds | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7.54 | medium |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES5325.5% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES41.9% of games
10+ ASSISTS73.4%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | vs MIN | 42 | 38.2 | +10% | 41 | 17/22 | 17/21 | 0/1 | 7/7 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.0 | 82% |
| 2026-04-09 | vs PHI | 42 | 37.91 | +10.8% | 19 | 7/14 | 7/12 | 0/2 | 5/8 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +8.0 | 54% |
| 2026-04-07 | @ PHX | 36 | 38.7 | -7% | 22 | 10/16 | 10/15 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +2.0 | 65% |
| 2026-04-05 | @ GSW | 39 | 38.68 | +0.8% | 18 | 8/11 | 8/11 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.0 | 71% |
| 2026-04-03 | vs UTA | 32 | 38.63 | -17.2% | 21 | 7/11 | 7/11 | 0/0 | 7/9 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +14.0 | 70% |
| 2026-04-01 | vs MIL | 40 | 38.58 | +3.7% | 18 | 5/10 | 5/10 | 0/0 | 8/8 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +12.0 | 67% |
| 2026-03-31 | vs NYK | 39 | 38.12 | +2.3% | 17 | 8/14 | 8/12 | 0/2 | 1/2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +19.0 | 57% |
| 2026-03-29 | @ NOP | 35 | 38.16 | -8.3% | 14 | 5/10 | 5/9 | 0/1 | 4/6 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +32.0 | 55% |
| 2026-03-27 | @ MEM | 40 | 38.28 | +4.5% | 18 | 7/15 | 6/13 | 1/2 | 3/3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +3.0 | 55% |
| 2026-03-25 | @ MIN | 45 | 38.18 | +17.9% | 11 | 4/8 | 4/8 | 0/0 | 3/3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3.0 | 59% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS40.3%31/77 games
10+ REBOUNDS23.4%18/77 games
5+ ASSISTS58.4%45/77 games
2+ THREES3.9%3/77 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | HOU | 83 | 52.3 | #84 / 409 | 23.2M | Core |
| 2024–25 | HOU | 76 | 55.5 | #54 / 422 | 24.3M | Core |
| 2023–24 | HOU | 62 | 53.4 | #81 / 409 | 18.2M | Core |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER52.3descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#84of 409 ranked
PH$23.2MCore
SAMPLE83observed games
Ball security58
Box defence42
Creation56
Efficiency55
Rebounding49
Scoring49
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+15.8 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-7.8 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-8.9 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY90-1.4 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
HOU
Houston Rockets
EXPECTED MIN35.8
SCORING SHARE15.7%
CREATION SHARE21.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR85.5%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.