CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Alperen Sengun

Houston Rockets current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Houston Rockets · current teamCTurkeyBesiktas

AF-PLAYER57.32025–26

NBA RANK#34of 409

PH$26.2MHigh Value · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN26.3governed role

NEXT GAMEvs Dallas Mavericks2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-1.2 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES355

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS16.9

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS8.6

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS4.5

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

71 games

MIN33.3

PTS20.2

REB8.8

AST6.2

STL1.2

BLK1.1

3PM0.6

FG%51.7%

3P%30.8%

FT%69.0%

+/-+2.9

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Houston Rockets

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · HOMEvs Dallas Mavericks71.9% winProjected 110–116

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ San Antonio Spurs37.6% winProjected 110–115

2026-10-24 · AWAY@ Atlanta Hawks45.0% winProjected 112–114

2026-10-26 · HOMEvs Atlanta Hawks59.6% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-28 · AWAY@ Milwaukee Bucks58.9% winProjected 113–113

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED32.02pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G13.2 PTS · 7.6 REB · 5 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G17 PTS · 8.4 REB · 6 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G17.3 PTS · 7.6 REB · 5.8 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G18.3 PTS · 7.8 REB · 6.1 AST

creation→

efficiency↓

minutes→

rebounding→

scoring→

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 355 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS51.7%2342/4528

2-POINT54.7%2200/4024

3-POINT28.2%142/504

FREE THROW69.9%1155/1652

EFFECTIVE FG%53.3%

TRUE SHOOTING%56.9%

AST / TO1.76

PTS PER 3620.68rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

174 HOME · 181 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	174	29.83	16.99	8.87	4.63	0.36	1.05	0.87
Away	181	28.85	16.71	8.36	4.36	0.44	1.02	0.93
Home − Away	—	+1.0	+0.3	+0.5	+0.3	-0.1	+0.0	-0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

355 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	2	4	7	4.49	high
minutes	23.6	30.1	35	29.33	low
points	10	16	23	16.85	medium
rebounds	5	8	12	8.61	medium

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

355 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES14340.3% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES123.4% of games

10+ ASSISTS195.3%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-10	vs MIN	29	32.51	-10.8%	22	10/13	10/13	0/0	2/2	3	3	6	8	0	1	3	5	+7.0	79%
2026-04-09	vs PHI	33	32.62	+1.2%	8	4/14	4/13	0/1	0/0	2	10	12	4	1	0	3	4	+4.0	29%
2026-04-07	@ PHX	28	33.19	-15.6%	12	5/15	5/14	0/1	2/2	7	7	14	6	0	0	6	4	+4.0	38%
2026-04-05	@ GSW	37	31.96	+15.8%	24	10/19	9/14	1/5	3/3	3	3	6	7	0	2	2	3	-1.0	59%
2026-04-03	vs UTA	28	31.92	-12.3%	19	8/12	8/10	0/2	3/6	0	4	4	5	0	0	3	3	+16.0	65%
2026-04-01	vs MIL	29	31.87	-9%	25	9/13	7/11	2/2	5/6	1	7	8	4	2	1	0	5	+6.0	80%
2026-03-31	vs NYK	30	32.01	-6.3%	13	4/5	3/3	1/2	4/6	1	4	5	10	1	0	2	5	+8.0	85%
2026-03-29	@ NOP	32	31.95	+0.2%	36	12/23	7/16	5/7	7/8	7	6	13	7	3	3	0	2	+26.0	68%
2026-03-27	@ MEM	33	32.23	+2.4%	14	6/13	6/13	0/0	2/4	4	4	8	7	1	2	1	4	-1.0	47%
2026-03-25	@ MIN	43	26.74	+60.8%	30	12/22	12/20	0/2	6/6	1	5	6	3	0	4	1	5	-2.0	61%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS46.5%33/71 games

10+ REBOUNDS42.3%30/71 games

5+ ASSISTS73.2%52/71 games

2+ THREES9.9%7/71 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	HOU	71	33.3	20.2	8.8	6.2	51.7%	30.8%	69.0%
2024–25	HOU	74	31.6	19.1	10.4	4.9	49.5%	23.6%	69.4%
2023–24	HOU	63	32.5	21.1	9.4	5.0	53.7%	29.7%	69.3%
2022–23	HOU	75	28.9	14.8	9.0	3.9	55.3%	33.3%	71.5%
2021–22	HOU	72	20.7	9.6	5.5	2.6	47.4%	24.8%	71.1%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	HOU	77	57.3	#34 / 409	26.2M	High Value
2024–25	HOU	81	57.5	#42 / 422	25.5M	High Value
2023–24	HOU	63	62.4	#14 / 409	25.3M	High Value
2022–23	HOU	75	56.5	#43 / 408	23.2M	Core
2021–22	HOU	72	49.4	#112 / 423	17.2M	Core

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#34 OF 409

AF-PLAYER57.3descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#34of 409 ranked

PH$26.2MHigh Value

SAMPLE77observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+37.3 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT+1.6 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-7.4 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY88-1.2 pp next-game What If impact

UNDERUSED

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

HOU

Houston Rockets

EXPECTED MIN30.0

SCORING SHARE17.7%

CREATION SHARE24.8%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR79.9%

+3.49 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 45 normal-load / 5 nonparticipation games.