Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
Alex Ducas
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYERPendingsample gate
NBA RANK—not ranked
PH$—pending · how PH$ worksSTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2024–25
MIN5.5
PTS1.6
REB1.1
AST0.2
STL0.2
BLK0.0
3PM0.5
FG%39.3%
3P%45.0%
FT%100.0%
+/--0.7
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2024–25
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL15minutes
EXPECTED2.83pregame reference
DEVIATION+429.5%expanded minutes
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G1.4 PTS · 1.4 REB · 0.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G0.6 PTS · 0.8 REB · 0.2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0.7 PTS · 0.7 REB · 0.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT6 G0.5 PTS · 0.67 REB · 0.17 AST
creation↑
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring↑
HOT historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS39.3%11/28
2-POINT—2/8
3-POINT45.0%9/20
FREE THROW—2/2
EFFECTIVE FG%55.4%
TRUE SHOOTING%57.1%
AST / TO1
PTS PER 3610.7rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Away | 10 | 5.4 | 1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.3 | +1.3 | +0.6 | -0.2 | +0.5 | +0.2 | 0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | high |
| minutes | 2 | 4.5 | 7.2 | 5.55 | high |
| points | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.65 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1.1 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2024–25
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-13 | @ NOP | 15 | 2.83 | +429.5% | 5 | 1/3 | 0/1 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4.0 | 64% |
| 2025-04-11 | @ UTA | 14 | — | — | 2 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +7.0 | 50% |
| 2025-03-21 | vs CHA | 6 | — | — | 3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +4.0 | 150% |
| 2025-03-02 | @ SAS | 2 | 1.03 | +93.5% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5.0 | — |
| 2025-02-21 | @ UTA | 3 | 3.35 | -10.5% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 | — |
| 2025-02-13 | @ MIN | 4 | 3.47 | +15.2% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 | 0% |
| 2025-02-10 | vs NOP | 6 | 5.16 | +16.4% | 3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.0 | 75% |
| 2025-02-07 | vs TOR | 4 | 4.8 | -16.6% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -9.0 | — |
| 2025-02-05 | vs PHX | 6 | 3.9 | +53.7% | 0 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 | 0% |
| 2025-02-03 | vs MIL | 14 | — | — | 2 | 1/6 | 1/3 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.0 | 17% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2024–25
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/20 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/20 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/20 games
2+ THREES10.0%2/20 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024–25 | OKC | 20 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 39.3% | 45.0% | 100.0% |
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2024–25
ProbHoops has observed 22 games of this player in 2024–25 — below the sample floor required to rank. He carries no AF-Player and no PH$. Pending means not enough observation, never a low score.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2024–25
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
OKC
Oklahoma City Thunder
EXPECTED MIN2.0
SCORING SHARE1.1%
CREATION SHARE0.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR40.2%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.