PROBHOOPS · NBA ANALYTICS · TEAMS · PLAYERS · PROBABILITIES
FIND ANYTHING

Teams & players

Start typing to search the ProbHoops directory.

Tip: press / anywhere to search.

PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL

AJ Griffin

Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.

Atlanta Hawks · last observed team
AF-PLAYER38.72022–23
NBA RANK#272of 408
PH$8.9MDepth · fictional game currency
STATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual
REGULAR-SEASON GAMES92

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS7.5

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS1.9

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS0.8

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2023–24

20 games
MIN8.5
PTS2.4
REB0.9
AST0.3
STL0.1
BLK0.1
3PM0.5
FG%29.0%
3P%25.6%
FT%100.0%
+/--2.5

NEXT GAME

Current context

No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2023–24

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL20minutes
EXPECTED3.51pregame reference
DEVIATION+469.3%expanded minutes

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G2.2 PTS · 0.8 REB · 0.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT3 G4 PTS · 1 REB · 0.33 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G1.1 PTS · 0.5 REB · 0.1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT3 G4 PTS · 1 REB · 0.33 AST

Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 92 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS44.8%266/594
2-POINT52.4%155/296
3-POINT37.3%111/298
FREE THROW89.8%44/49
EFFECTIVE FG%54.1%
TRUE SHOOTING%55.8%
AST / TO1.56
PTS PER 3615.78rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

45 HOME · 47 AWAY
SplitGMINPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLK
Home4516.367.492.020.871.160.60.11
Away4717.687.451.70.831.260.340.19
Home − Away—-1.3+0.0+0.3+0.0-0.1+0.3-0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

92 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

CategoryFloorMedianCeilingMeanVolatility
assists0120.85high
minutes9.2172417.03medium
points26.512.87.47high
rebounds0231.86high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

92 GAMES
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2023–24

One log, the window you choose

10 games
DateOppMINEXP MINMIN ΔPTSFG2P3PFTORDRREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-TS%
2024-04-14@ IND203.51+469.3%84/144/90/50/000000110-17.029%
2024-04-12@ MIN18——31/30/21/10/004410010-6.050%
2024-01-30vs LAL21.24+61%00/10/10/00/001100000+1.00%
2024-01-24@ GSW21.2+66.3%00/20/00/20/000000000-4.00%
2024-01-20vs CLE31.87+60.1%21/21/10/10/000000000+3.050%
2024-01-13vs WAS51.92+160.1%00/10/00/10/001100000+1.00%
2024-01-12vs IND41.38+189.2%21/21/10/10/000000100+2.050%
2024-01-05@ IND7——31/30/01/30/000000020-2.050%
2023-12-11vs DEN9——00/10/00/10/002210001+1.00%
2023-11-28@ CLE15——00/80/40/40/010100001-2.00%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2023–24

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/20 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/20 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/20 games
2+ THREES15.0%3/20 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games
SeasonTeam(s)GMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
2023–24ATL208.52.40.90.329.0%25.6%100.0%
2022–23ATL7219.48.92.11.046.6%39.0%89.4%

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

No current roster binding for this historical profile

governed identity

This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2022–23

#272 OF 408
AF-PLAYER38.7descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#272of 408 ranked
PH$8.9MDepth
SAMPLE72observed games
Ball security
88
Box defence
27
Creation
24
Efficiency
45
Rebounding
16
Scoring
44

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2023–24

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

ATL

Atlanta Hawks

EXPECTED MIN3.4
SCORING SHARE1.9%
CREATION SHARE1.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR42.9%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.