Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
A. Flagler
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYERPendingsample gate
NBA RANK—not ranked
PH$—pending · how PH$ worksSTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2024–25
MIN5.4
PTS1.8
REB0.7
AST0.2
STL0.2
BLK0.1
3PM0.4
FG%26.4%
3P%19.7%
FT%50.0%
+/--0.2
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2024–25
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL22minutes
EXPECTED6.38pregame reference
DEVIATION+244.8%expanded minutes
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G4.2 PTS · 1.6 REB · 0.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G0.6 PTS · 0.4 REB · 0 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G2.1 PTS · 1.1 REB · 0.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT6 G1 PTS · 0.5 REB · 0 AST
creation→
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring↓
COLD historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS25.5%24/94
2-POINT45.5%10/22
3-POINT19.4%14/72
FREE THROW—1/2
EFFECTIVE FG%33.0%
TRUE SHOOTING%33.2%
AST / TO6
PTS PER 3611.69rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 21 | 4.86 | 1.48 | 0.48 | 0.38 | 0.33 | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| Away | 14 | 6.57 | 2.29 | 0.93 | 0.29 | 0.5 | 0.21 | 0.07 |
| Home − Away | — | -1.7 | -0.8 | -0.5 | +0.1 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.34 | high |
| minutes | 2 | 4 | 7.2 | 5.54 | high |
| points | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.8 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.66 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2024–25
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-13 | @ NOP | 22 | 6.38 | +244.8% | 2 | 1/7 | 1/2 | 0/5 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.0 | 14% |
| 2025-04-11 | @ UTA | 27 | 2.03 | +1227.6% | 17 | 6/13 | 2/4 | 4/9 | 1/2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +19.0 | 61% |
| 2025-04-09 | @ PHX | 8 | 1 | +701% | 2 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 | 50% |
| 2025-04-08 | vs LAL | 2 | 1.21 | +65.8% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | 0% |
| 2025-03-29 | vs IND | 5 | 2.31 | +116.2% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 | 0% |
| 2025-03-27 | vs MEM | 2 | 2.07 | -3.4% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 | 0% |
| 2025-03-25 | @ SAC | 2 | 1.78 | +12.1% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.0 | 0% |
| 2025-03-21 | vs CHA | 7 | 0.65 | +971% | 5 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.0 | 83% |
| 2025-03-16 | @ MIL | 1 | 1.42 | -29.6% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 | 0% |
| 2025-03-07 | vs POR | 8 | 0.71 | +1030.4% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.0 | 0% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2024–25
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/33 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/33 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/33 games
2+ THREES3.0%1/33 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2024–25
ProbHoops has observed 38 games of this player in 2024–25 — below the sample floor required to rank. He carries no AF-Player and no PH$. Pending means not enough observation, never a low score.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2024–25
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
OKC
Oklahoma City Thunder
EXPECTED MIN2.2
SCORING SHARE1.3%
CREATION SHARE0.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR45.5%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.