Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
A. Bailey
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYER31.62025–26
NBA RANK#366of 409
PH$7.1MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN26.6
PTS12.0
REB4.1
AST1.7
STL0.8
BLK0.5
3PM1.5
FG%43.6%
3P%32.0%
FT%77.8%
+/--7.7
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED29.92pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G7.2 PTS · 2 REB · 0.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G13.4 PTS · 5.4 REB · 1.8 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G5.1 PTS · 1.7 REB · 0.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G13.2 PTS · 5.4 REB · 2 AST
creation→
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS43.6%278/638
2-POINT52.0%192/369
3-POINT32.0%86/269
FREE THROW77.8%42/54
EFFECTIVE FG%50.3%
TRUE SHOOTING%51.7%
AST / TO1.2
PTS PER 3616.21rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 29 | 26.62 | 13.59 | 3.76 | 1.79 | 2.07 | 0.86 | 0.48 |
| Away | 28 | 26.68 | 10.36 | 4.46 | 1.57 | 0.93 | 0.71 | 0.46 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.1 | +3.2 | -0.7 | +0.2 | +1.1 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1.68 | high |
| minutes | 20.2 | 29 | 32 | 26.65 | low |
| points | 6 | 12 | 18.8 | 12 | high |
| rebounds | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4.11 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | @ OKC | 33 | 24.38 | +35.4% | 14 | 6/14 | 4/8 | 2/6 | 0/0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -47.0 | 50% |
| 2026-04-03 | @ HOU | 33 | 24.38 | +35.4% | 22 | 9/17 | 7/9 | 2/8 | 2/3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -17.0 | 60% |
| 2026-03-27 | @ DEN | 27 | 24.38 | +10.8% | 15 | 7/14 | 6/7 | 1/7 | 0/0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -12.0 | 54% |
| 2026-03-07 | @ MIL | 29 | 28.59 | +1.4% | 9 | 4/13 | 3/4 | 1/9 | 0/0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -11.0 | 35% |
| 2026-03-04 | @ PHI | 31 | 30.44 | +1.8% | 12 | 5/16 | 3/9 | 2/7 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -4.0 | 38% |
| 2026-03-02 | vs DEN | 32 | 29.84 | +7.2% | 18 | 6/14 | 4/9 | 2/5 | 4/4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -5.0 | 57% |
| 2026-02-28 | vs NOP | 30 | 30.73 | -2.4% | 13 | 4/16 | 1/8 | 3/8 | 2/2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4.0 | 39% |
| 2026-02-26 | vs NOP | 29 | 31.13 | -6.9% | 23 | 9/17 | 7/11 | 2/6 | 3/3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -14.0 | 63% |
| 2026-02-23 | @ HOU | 27 | 29.67 | -9% | 4 | 2/9 | 2/7 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -26.0 | 22% |
| 2026-02-12 | vs POR | 35 | 29.2 | +19.8% | 15 | 7/15 | 6/10 | 1/5 | 0/0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -19.0 | 50% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS15.8%9/57 games
10+ REBOUNDS1.8%1/57 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/57 games
2+ THREES50.9%29/57 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | UTA | 57 | 26.6 | 12.0 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 43.6% | 32.0% | 77.8% |
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER31.6descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#366of 409 ranked
PH$7.1MDepth
SAMPLE57observed games
Ball security59
Box defence31
Creation19
Efficiency23
Rebounding34
Scoring46
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
UTA
Utah Jazz
EXPECTED MIN21.9
SCORING SHARE9.2%
CREATION SHARE5.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR78.3%
-4.99 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 31 normal-load / 3 nonparticipation games.