Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Nic Claxton
Chicago Bulls current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER55.12025–26
NBA RANK#52of 409
PH$22.3MCore · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN23.6governed role
NEXT GAME@ Toronto Raptors2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT+0.1 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN28.2
PTS11.9
REB7.0
AST3.8
STL0.7
BLK1.1
3PM0.1
FG%57.5%
3P%17.6%
FT%61.1%
+/--6.5
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Chicago Bulls
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED20.28pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G7 PTS · 5.2 REB · 3.4 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G3.8 PTS · 2.2 REB · 1.1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G8.3 PTS · 5.9 REB · 4 AST
creation→
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring↓
COLD historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS62.5%1691/2706
2-POINT63.4%1680/2649
3-POINT19.3%11/57
FREE THROW55.5%543/978
EFFECTIVE FG%62.7%
TRUE SHOOTING%62.7%
AST / TO1.8
PTS PER 3614.59rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 183 | 26.57 | 11.11 | 7.79 | 2.13 | 0.05 | 0.76 | 1.63 |
| Away | 188 | 25.79 | 10.12 | 7.36 | 1.99 | 0.01 | 0.64 | 1.6 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.8 | +1.0 | +0.4 | +0.1 | +0.0 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2.06 | high |
| minutes | 21 | 27 | 32 | 26.18 | low |
| points | 6 | 10 | 15 | 10.61 | high |
| rebounds | 5 | 7 | 11 | 7.57 | medium |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES8623.2% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES20.5% of games
10+ ASSISTS30.8%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | vs CHA | 22 | 17.54 | +25.4% | 4 | 1/3 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -16.0 | 52% |
| 2026-03-29 | vs SAC | 23 | 17.52 | +31.3% | 10 | 4/8 | 4/7 | 0/1 | 2/3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 | 54% |
| 2026-03-27 | @ LAL | 23 | 14.77 | +55.7% | 16 | 8/10 | 8/10 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 | 80% |
| 2026-03-25 | @ GSW | 20 | 15.08 | +32.6% | 8 | 3/6 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +1.0 | 58% |
| 2026-03-23 | @ POR | 22 | 15.11 | +45.6% | 10 | 4/10 | 4/10 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7.0 | 46% |
| 2026-03-20 | vs NYK | 22 | 17.23 | +27.7% | 8 | 4/7 | 4/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.0 | 57% |
| 2026-03-12 | @ ATL | 21 | 23.35 | -10.1% | 8 | 4/6 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.0 | 58% |
| 2026-03-10 | vs DET | 21 | 26.86 | -21.8% | 2 | 0/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -26.0 | 35% |
| 2026-03-07 | @ DET | 28 | 22.75 | +23.1% | 2 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -6.0 | 20% |
| 2026-03-05 | @ MIA | 28 | 18.72 | +49.6% | 16 | 6/15 | 6/15 | 0/0 | 4/8 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -4.0 | 43% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS3.2%2/62 games
10+ REBOUNDS19.4%12/62 games
5+ ASSISTS29.0%18/62 games
2+ THREES0.0%0/62 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | BKN | 62 | 28.2 | 11.9 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 57.5% | 17.6% | 61.1% |
| 2024–25 | BKN | 69 | 26.9 | 10.4 | 7.3 | 2.2 | 56.6% | 23.8% | 52.7% |
| 2023–24 | BKN | 70 | 29.8 | 11.9 | 9.9 | 2.1 | 62.9% | 20.0% | 55.1% |
| 2022–23 | BKN | 76 | 29.8 | 12.6 | 9.2 | 1.9 | 70.5% | 0.0% | 54.1% |
| 2021–22 | BKN | 47 | 20.7 | 8.7 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 67.4% | — | 58.1% |
| 2020–21 | BKN | 32 | 18.6 | 6.6 | 5.2 | 0.9 | 62.1% | 20.0% | 48.4% |
| 2019–20 | BKN | 15 | 12.5 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 56.3% | 14.3% | 52.4% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | BKN | 62 | 55.1 | #52 / 409 | 22.3M | Core |
| 2024–25 | BKN | 69 | 49.4 | #133 / 422 | 17M | Core |
| 2023–24 | BKN | 70 | 57.8 | #38 / 409 | 23.7M | Core |
| 2022–23 | BKN | 80 | 61.3 | #19 / 408 | 26.1M | High Value |
| 2021–22 | BKN | 59 | 58.5 | #31 / 423 | 20.7M | Core |
| 2020–21 | BKN | 45 | 51.7 | #93 / 410 | 14.6M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER55.1descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#52of 409 ranked
PH$22.3MCore
SAMPLE62observed games
Ball security58
Box defence44
Creation61
Efficiency63
Rebounding60
Scoring37
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+39.2 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+18.9 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-4.6 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY55+0.1 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
BKN
Brooklyn Nets
EXPECTED MIN25.5
SCORING SHARE11.3%
CREATION SHARE14.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR81.2%
+3.03 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 36 normal-load / 3 nonparticipation games.